Football · Canada Premier League · 12/10, 19:00

Prediction: Forge FC vs Inter Toronto

Team pages: Forge FC · Inter Toronto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

Forge FC2.55

Inter Toronto1.17

1X2

66% 19% 15%

Forge FC Draw Inter Toronto

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Forge FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

LWWLDWDDDW

Inter Toronto 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLDDWLDLWL

Head-to-head

Forge FC 4–2–0 Inter Toronto (6 last)

Forge FC1-1Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto1-3Forge FC
Inter Toronto1-4Forge FC
Forge FC3-0Inter Toronto
Inter Toronto1-2Forge FC
Forge FC2-2Inter Toronto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Forge FC 1565 · Inter Toronto 1449

	Forge FC	Draw	Inter Toronto
Our model	66%	19%	15%
Market	66%	19%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forge FC (rating 1565 vs 1449).
H2H favours Forge FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Forge FC	Inter Toronto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.1	2 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	1.3 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	60/0/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 6	1.4 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.3	6.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.38

X4.75

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 4 moves · last 15:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.38▼	Bet365 1.38
X	4.33 → 4.75▲	Pinn 4.90 ★
2	5.75 → 6.25▲	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (4)

Bet365 margin 9.5% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +2’	1.40	4.33	5.75
10:16 +4’	1.28▼	4.75▲	7.50▲
06:20 +3’	1.36▲	4.50▼	6.25▼
14:59 +1’	1.38▲	4.75▲	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:54 +364’	1.37	4.95	6.30
09:17 +6’	1.38▲	4.85▼	6.24▼
12:36 +21’	1.37▼	4.90▲	6.25▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.25

Go premium to see every market's movement

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Forge FC 4–2–0 Inter Toronto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Inter Toronto
26/07/26 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-3 HT 1-1	Forge FC
07/06/26 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-4 HT 0-2	Forge FC
18/10/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Inter Toronto
09/08/25 Canada Premier League	Inter Toronto	1-2 HT 1-1	Forge FC
29/06/25 Canada Premier League	Forge FC	2-2 HT 1-2	Inter Toronto

Standings · Canada Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	25	16	5	4	51	19	53
2	Forge FC	25	15	6	4	41	20	51
3	Atletico Ottawa	25	12	4	9	38	41	40
4	Vancouver FC	26	9	7	10	37	35	34
5	Supra du Quebec	26	9	5	12	40	47	32
6	HFX Wanderers	25	7	6	12	38	42	27
7	Inter Toronto	25	6	9	10	40	56	27
8	Pacific FC (CA)	25	2	8	15	30	55	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Forge FC	Inter Toronto
Pacific FC (CA)	3-0 W	3-4 L
HFX Wanderers	3-3 D	1-4 L
Vancouver FC	1-1 D	3-3 D
Cavalry FC	1-1 D	3-1 W
Atletico Ottawa	3-0 W	1-2 L
Supra du Quebec	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Forge FC (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Forge FC

LWWLDWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/10	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	1-0	3-0	13	3	W
03/10	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-0	3-3	8	2	D
27/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
19/09	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	0-0	1-1	5	6	D
13/09	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	0-0	3-0	3	6	W
06/09	Inter Toronto Canada Premier League	0-1	1-1	7	5	D
29/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
23/08	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-0	2-0	7	2	W
20/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	2-2	3-2	6	3	W
15/08	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	1	7	L

Inter Toronto

DLDDWLDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/10	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-2	1-2	5	6	L
03/10	Cavalry FC Canada Premier League	2-0	3-1	0	8	W
27/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	3-4	3-4	6	7	L
24/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	2-1	3-3	3	2	D
20/09	HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League	1-3	1-4	9	6	L
13/09	Vancouver FC Canada Premier League	1-0	3-1	4	3	W
10/09	Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League	0-1	3-3	8	10	D
06/09	Forge FC Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	5	D
29/08	Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League	1-0	1-2	3	8	L
23/08	Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League	1-0	1-1	1	9	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Forge FC vs Inter Toronto?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Forge FC win (66%). Probabilities: Forge FC 66%, draw 19%, Inter Toronto 15%.

How many goals are expected in Forge FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model expects 3.72 goals (Forge FC 2.55 · Inter Toronto 1.17), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Forge FC vs Inter Toronto?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.