Football · Canada Premier League · 08/10, 01:00
Prediction: Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)
Team pages: Forge FC · Pacific FC (CA)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.88Total
Forge FC2.2
Pacific FC (CA)0.68
1X2
Forge FC
Draw
Pacific FC (CA)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Forge FC
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Pacific FC (CA)
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Forge FC
6–0
Pacific FC (CA)
(6 last)
- Forge FC2-0Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)0-1Forge FC
- Forge FC4-0Pacific FC (CA)
- Forge FC2-0Pacific FC (CA)
- Pacific FC (CA)0-1Forge FC
- Pacific FC (CA)0-2Forge FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Forge FC 1526 · Pacific FC (CA) 1472
| Forge FC | Draw | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 19% | 9% |
| Market | 72% | 18% | 10% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Forge FC (rating 1526 vs 1472).
- H2H favours Forge FC: 6-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Forge FC | Pacific FC (CA) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.2 | 1.8 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.3 | 4.6 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Forge FC 6–0–0 Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/26 Canada Premier League | Forge FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 27/04/26 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Forge FC |
| 27/09/25 Canada Premier League | Forge FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 19/07/25 Canada Premier League | Forge FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Pacific FC (CA) |
| 24/05/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Forge FC |
| 12/04/25 Canada Premier League | Pacific FC (CA) | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Forge FC |
Standings · Canada Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cavalry FC | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Forge FC | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Atletico Ottawa | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 41 | 40 |
| 4 | Vancouver FC | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 35 | 33 | 33 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 38 | 42 | 27 |
| 6 | Inter Toronto | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 54 | 27 |
| 7 | Supra du Quebec | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 44 | 25 |
| 8 | Pacific FC (CA) | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 47 | 14 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Forge FC | Pacific FC (CA) |
|---|---|---|
| HFX Wanderers | 3-3 D | 4-3 W |
| Vancouver FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Cavalry FC | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Atletico Ottawa | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Inter Toronto | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Supra du Quebec | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 4 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Forge FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 27/09 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 06/09 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 29/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/08 | Pacific FC (CA) Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 20/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 15/08 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 08/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 6 | L |
Pacific FC (CA)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
4-3 | 4-3 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 14/09 | Cavalry FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/09 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 05/09 | Atletico Ottawa Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/08 | HFX Wanderers Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | Forge FC Canada Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Vancouver FC Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 08/08 | Inter Toronto Canada Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 01/08 | Supra du Quebec Canada Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Forge FC win (72%). Probabilities: Forge FC 72%, draw 19%, Pacific FC (CA) 10%.
How many goals are expected in Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model expects 2.88 goals (Forge FC 2.2 · Pacific FC (CA) 0.68), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Forge FC vs Pacific FC (CA)?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.