Football · Brazil Serie B · 18/07, 21:00
Prediction: Criciuma vs Vila Nova
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.02Total
Criciuma1.34
Vila Nova0.69
1X2
Criciuma
Draw
Vila Nova
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 53%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Criciuma
6-4-0 (W-D-L)
Vila Nova
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Criciuma
3–2–1
Vila Nova
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Criciuma (rating 1568 vs 1525).
- H2H favours Criciuma: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Criciuma | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/30/0% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6.4 | 2.4 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0 | 4.9 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Criciuma 3–2–1 Vila Nova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/25 Brazil Serie B | Vila Nova | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Criciuma |
| 10/06/25 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vila Nova |
| 23/08/23 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vila Nova |
| 13/05/23 Brazil Serie B | Vila Nova | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Criciuma |
| 05/10/22 Brazil Serie B | Vila Nova | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Criciuma |
| 25/06/22 Brazil Serie B | Criciuma | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Vila Nova |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo SP | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Criciuma | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Sao Bernardo SP | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| America MG | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Londrina | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Avai | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| EC Juventude | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 0 L | 4 W 0 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Criciuma
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 04/07 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 24/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 16/06 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 06/06 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 17/05 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
Vila Nova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/07 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
4-1 | 4-3 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/06 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 12 | W |
| 24/05 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 14/05 | Anapolis FC Brazil Copa Centro-Oeste |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Criciuma vs Vila Nova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Criciuma win (51%). Probabilities: Criciuma 51%, draw 31%, Vila Nova 18%.
How many goals are expected in Criciuma vs Vila Nova?
The model expects 2.02 goals (Criciuma 1.34 · Vila Nova 0.69), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Criciuma vs Vila Nova?
The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.