Football · Brazil Serie B · 18/07, 21:00
Prediction: Ponte Preta vs Goias
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.41Total
Ponte Preta0.98
Goias1.43
1X2
Ponte Preta
Draw
Goias
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ponte Preta
0-1-9 (W-D-L)
Goias
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ponte Preta
2–3–1
Goias
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Goias (rating 1385 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Ponte Preta: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ponte Preta | Goias | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.4 | 1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 5.5 | 1.8 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.6 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ponte Preta 2–3–1 Goias
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/24 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Goias |
| 28/04/24 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Ponte Preta |
| 03/11/21 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Ponte Preta |
| 24/07/21 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Goias |
| 22/09/18 Brazil Serie B | Goias | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Ponte Preta |
| 06/06/18 Brazil Serie B | Ponte Preta | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Goias |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo SP | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ponte Preta | Goias |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico GO | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Gremio Novorizontino | 0-2 L | 0-4 L |
| Botafogo SP | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| CRB | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Goias (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ponte Preta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 03/07 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 23/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 10/06 | Cuiaba Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 02/06 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 19/05 | Londrina Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 9 | L |
Goias
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
0-3 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 11/06 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-4 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 25/05 | Avai Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 13/05 | Cruzeiro Copa do Brasil |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ponte Preta vs Goias?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Goias win (46%). Probabilities: Ponte Preta 25%, draw 29%, Goias 46%.
How many goals are expected in Ponte Preta vs Goias?
The model expects 2.41 goals (Ponte Preta 0.98 · Goias 1.43), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ponte Preta vs Goias?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.