Football · Brazil Serie B · 18/07, 02:00
Prediction: Fortaleza vs Gremio Novorizontino
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.2Total
Fortaleza1.09
Gremio Novorizontino1.12
1X2
Fortaleza
Draw
Gremio Novorizontino
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Fortaleza
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Gremio Novorizontino
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gremio Novorizontino (rating 1486 vs 1545).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fortaleza | Gremio Novorizontino | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.1 | 1.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.4 | 1.5 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.3 |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo SP | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fortaleza | Gremio Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico GO | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| Ponte Preta | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Nautico | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fortaleza
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 03/07 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 28/06 | Sport Recife Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | CRB Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 17/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 10/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 06/06 | Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | Vitoria Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 28/05 | Sport Recife Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Gremio Novorizontino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Operario PR Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/06 | Vila Nova Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 23/06 | Ponte Preta Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 15/06 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 11/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 28/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 23/05 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Chapecoense Brazil Copa Sul-Sudeste |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fortaleza vs Gremio Novorizontino?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Gremio Novorizontino win (35%). Probabilities: Fortaleza 33%, draw 32%, Gremio Novorizontino 35%.
How many goals are expected in Fortaleza vs Gremio Novorizontino?
The model expects 2.2 goals (Fortaleza 1.09 · Gremio Novorizontino 1.12), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fortaleza vs Gremio Novorizontino?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.