Football · Brazil Serie B · 18/07, 21:00
Prediction: Sport Recife vs Operario PR
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.51Total
Sport Recife1.29
Operario PR1.22
1X2
Sport Recife
Draw
Operario PR
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Sport Recife
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Operario PR
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sport Recife
2–1–3
Operario PR
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Operario PR (rating 1497 vs 1541).
- H2H favours Operario PR: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sport Recife | Operario PR | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.1 | 1.6 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 5.1 | 2.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sport Recife 2–1–3 Operario PR
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/24 Brazil Serie B | Operario PR | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sport Recife |
| 17/10/24 Brazil Serie B | Sport Recife | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Operario PR |
| 29/10/22 Brazil Serie B | Sport Recife | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Operario PR |
| 14/07/22 Brazil Serie B | Operario PR | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sport Recife |
| 29/09/19 Brazil Serie B | Sport Recife | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Operario PR |
| 29/05/19 Brazil Serie B | Operario PR | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sport Recife |
Standings · Brazil Serie B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Criciuma | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 31 |
| 3 | Gremio Novorizontino | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 30 |
| 4 | EC Juventude | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 29 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 28 |
| 6 | Operario PR | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 28 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 15 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Bernardo SP | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 25 |
| 9 | Goias | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 24 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 9 | 23 |
| 11 | Athletic Club MG | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 22 |
| 12 | Nautico | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 21 |
| 13 | Atletico GO | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 19 | 21 |
| 14 | Botafogo SP | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 20 |
| 15 | CRB | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 19 |
| 16 | Londrina | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 18 |
| 17 | Ceara | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 17 |
| 18 | Avai | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 13 |
| 19 | Ponte Preta | 17 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 33 | 8 |
| 20 | America MG | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 6 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sport Recife | Operario PR |
|---|---|---|
| Botafogo SP | 3-3 D | 1-2 L |
| Criciuma | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Athletic Club MG | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Nautico | 2-0 W | 2-6 L |
| EC Juventude | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sport Recife
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 04/07 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 28/06 | Fortaleza Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 19/06 | Atletico GO Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Sao Bernardo SP Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 11/06 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 28/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 21/05 | Fortaleza Brazil Copa Nordeste |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
Operario PR
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07 | Gremio Novorizontino Brazil Serie B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 08/07 | Athletic Club MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | America MG Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 21/06 | Goias Brazil Serie B |
3-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | Botafogo SP Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | EC Juventude Brazil Serie B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 31/05 | Ceara Brazil Serie B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 10 | W |
| 25/05 | Criciuma Brazil Serie B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Nautico Brazil Serie B |
1-2 | 2-6 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Fluminense Copa do Brasil |
0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sport Recife vs Operario PR?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Sport Recife win (37%). Probabilities: Sport Recife 37%, draw 29%, Operario PR 34%.
How many goals are expected in Sport Recife vs Operario PR?
The model expects 2.51 goals (Sport Recife 1.29 · Operario PR 1.22), with a 52% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Sport Recife vs Operario PR?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.