Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 11/09, 20:45

Prediction: Shelbourne vs Derry City

Team pages: Shelbourne · Derry City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Shelbourne1.66

Derry City1.26

1X2

46% 26% 28%

Shelbourne Draw Derry City

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Shelbourne 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DWDLDWLLDD

Derry City 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDWLDWLD

Head-to-head

Shelbourne 1–2–3 Derry City (6 last)

Derry City0-0Shelbourne
Shelbourne1-2Derry City
Derry City1-2Shelbourne
Derry City1-1Shelbourne
Shelbourne0-1Derry City
Derry City2-0Shelbourne

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Derry City: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shelbourne	Derry City
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 4.4	1.9 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.97

Under 2.51.85

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:07

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.34 → 2.34	Pinn 2.34
X	3.51 → 3.51	Pinn 3.51
2	2.92 → 2.92	Pinn 2.92

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 5.5%

Time*	1	X	2
02:06 +1’	2.34	3.51	2.92

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shelbourne 1–2–3 Derry City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Derry City	0-0 HT 0-0	Shelbourne
17/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shelbourne	1-2 HT 0-1	Derry City
13/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Derry City	1-2 HT 1-2	Shelbourne
19/09/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Derry City	1-1 HT 1-0	Shelbourne
20/06/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Shelbourne	0-1 HT 0-0	Derry City
02/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division	Derry City	2-0 HT 2-0	Shelbourne

Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shamrock Rovers	29	16	8	5	46	27	56
2	St Patricks	29	14	8	7	45	25	50
3	Bohemians Dublin	29	14	8	7	50	34	50
4	Dundalk	29	10	10	9	46	45	40
5	Shelbourne	28	8	12	8	37	39	36
6	Derry City	29	7	13	9	41	40	34
7	Galway United	28	8	10	10	36	42	34
8	Waterford FC	29	7	11	11	39	48	32
9	Drogheda United	29	6	10	13	33	48	28
10	Sligo Rovers	29	5	8	16	23	48	23

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shelbourne	Derry City
Shamrock Rovers	0-0 D	3-3 D
Galway United	1-1 D	1-2 L
St Patricks	1-2 L	1-1 D
Waterford FC	0-1 L	2-4 L
Dundalk	2-1 W	1-2 L
Sligo Rovers	2-2 D	2-0 W
Bohemians Dublin	0-3 L	3-5 L
Drogheda United	2-2 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 4 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Derry City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shelbourne

DWDLDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-0	5	4	D
28/08	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	3	7	D
09/08	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	1-2	5	8	L
02/08	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
03/07	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	2-1	2-1	1	9	W
27/06	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-2	14	2	D
22/06	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-2	0-3	4	7	L
19/06	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-2	2-2	1	4	D
12/06	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
29/05	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

Derry City

LWLDWLDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	3-1	3-3	3	6	D
21/08	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	3-5	3	3	L
07/08	Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-0	2-0	10	2	W
02/08	St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-1	9	5	D
03/07	Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	2-4	5	3	L
26/06	Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	2-0	7	4	W
22/06	Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-0	1-1	2	7	D
19/06	Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
12/06	Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division	1-1	4-1	6	5	W
29/05	Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division	0-1	1-2	5	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shelbourne vs Derry City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shelbourne win (46%). Probabilities: Shelbourne 46%, draw 26%, Derry City 28%.

How many goals are expected in Shelbourne vs Derry City?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Shelbourne 1.66 · Derry City 1.26), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shelbourne vs Derry City?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.