Prediction: Club Atletico Libertad vs Leones FC
Expected goals: 2.43 (Club Atletico Libertad 1.39 · Leones FC 1.04). The model gives 44% home, 29% draw, 27% away. Over 2.25 goals (50%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Over its last 10 matches, Club Atletico Libertad sits at 2-2-6 (W-D-L), while Leones FC arrives on a 4-1-5 run. In their only recent head-to-head meeting, Club Atletico Libertad won 0 and Leones FC 0, with 1 draw.
| Club Atletico Libertad | Draw | Leones FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 29% | 27% |
| Market | 44% | 29% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Atletico Libertad | Leones FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.7 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.1 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Atletico Libertad 0–1–0 Leones FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Leones FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Club Atletico Libertad |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 37 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 27 |
| 4 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 26 |
| 6 | SD Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 22 |
| 9 | Tecnico Universitario | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 20 |
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 20 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
| 13 | Leones FC | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 18 | 17 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 22 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Atletico Libertad | Leones FC |
|---|---|---|
| Manta FC | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Independiente del Valle | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Emelec | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| SD Aucas | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Macara | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Orense | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Atletico Libertad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Leones FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Huaquillas FC Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 24/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 04/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 22/04 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Atletico Libertad vs Leones FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Atletico Libertad win (44%). Probabilities: Club Atletico Libertad 44%, draw 29%, Leones FC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Club Atletico Libertad vs Leones FC?
The model expects 2.43 goals (Club Atletico Libertad 1.39 · Leones FC 1.04), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Atletico Libertad vs Leones FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.