Prediction: Guayaquil City vs Delfin SC
Expected goals: 2.03 (Guayaquil City 1.24 · Delfin SC 0.79). The model gives 46% home, 31% draw, 23% away. Under 2 goals (51%) and not both to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-0.
Recent form leaves Guayaquil City with 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 losses over 10 games; Delfin SC has piled up 2-3-5 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Guayaquil City and 2 for Delfin SC, with 1 draw.
| Guayaquil City | Draw | Delfin SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 47% | 30% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Guayaquil City: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Guayaquil City | Delfin SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 0.8 / 2.2 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guayaquil City 3–1–2 Delfin SC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guayaquil City |
| 08/09/24 Ecuador Cup | Guayaquil City | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Delfin SC |
| 24/09/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Guayaquil City |
| 22/04/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Delfin SC |
| 30/07/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Delfin SC | 1-3 HT 1-0 | Guayaquil City |
| 15/03/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Delfin SC |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 26 |
| 6 | SD Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | Tecnico Universitario | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 23 |
| 8 | Macara | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | Emelec | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 23 |
| 10 | Orense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 24 | 22 |
| 11 | Mushuc Runa | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 23 | 21 |
| 12 | Leones FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 13 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 19 |
| 14 | Delfin SC | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 17 |
| 15 | Club Atletico Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 17 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 12 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Guayaquil City | Delfin SC |
|---|---|---|
| SD Aucas | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Independiente del Valle | 2-4 L | 0-1 L |
| Mushuc Runa | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Orense | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Tecnico Universitario | 1-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Emelec | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 4 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Delfin SC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guayaquil City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 23/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | Astillero FC Ecuador Cup |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 26/04 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 22/04 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Delfin SC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 25/05 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | Banos Ciudad de Fuego Ecuador Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 28/04 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 22/04 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guayaquil City vs Delfin SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Guayaquil City win (46%). Probabilities: Guayaquil City 46%, draw 31%, Delfin SC 23%.
How many goals are expected in Guayaquil City vs Delfin SC?
The model expects 2.03 goals (Guayaquil City 1.24 · Delfin SC 0.79), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Guayaquil City vs Delfin SC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.