Prediction: LDU Quito vs Club Atletico Libertad
Expected goals: 2.69 (LDU Quito 1.84 · Club Atletico Libertad 0.85). The model gives 60% home, 24% draw, 16% away. Over 2.5 goals (51%) and both teams to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves LDU Quito with 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Club Atletico Libertad has piled up 2-2-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, LDU Quito won 3 and Club Atletico Libertad 2, with 1 draw.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours LDU Quito (rating 1541 vs 1447).
- H2H favours LDU Quito: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Quito | Club Atletico Libertad | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.4 | 1.5 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Quito 3–1–2 Club Atletico Libertad
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Club Atletico Libertad | 2-1 HT 0-1 | LDU Quito |
| 14/12/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Club Atletico Libertad | 2-1 HT 2-1 | LDU Quito |
| 09/11/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Club Atletico Libertad |
| 13/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Club Atletico Libertad | 0-1 HT 0-1 | LDU Quito |
| 20/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club Atletico Libertad |
| 25/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 3-0 HT 0-0 | Club Atletico Libertad |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | LDU Quito | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Deportivo Cuenca | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 19 | 27 |
| 5 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 26 |
| 6 | SD Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19 | 16 | 26 |
| 7 | Macara | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
| 9 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 16 | 22 |
| 10 | Tecnico Universitario | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 16 | 20 |
| 11 | Leones FC | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19 | 19 |
| 13 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 18 |
| 14 | Club Atletico Libertad | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 25 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 23 | 12 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LDU Quito | Club Atletico Libertad |
|---|---|---|
| Macara | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Guayaquil City | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: LDU Quito (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LDU Quito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 02/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Always Ready Copa Libertadores |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 21/05 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 12/05 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 08/05 | Mirassol Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 29/04 | Lanus Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Club Atletico Libertad
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 3-2 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/05 | LDU Portoviejo Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/04 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LDU Quito vs Club Atletico Libertad?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Quito win (60%). Probabilities: LDU Quito 60%, draw 24%, Club Atletico Libertad 16%.
How many goals are expected in LDU Quito vs Club Atletico Libertad?
The model expects 2.69 goals (LDU Quito 1.84 · Club Atletico Libertad 0.85), with a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in LDU Quito vs Club Atletico Libertad?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.