Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 11/09, 21:00
Prediction: St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
Team pages: St Patricks · Shamrock Rovers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.34Total
St Patricks1.24
Shamrock Rovers1.1
1X2
St Patricks
Draw
Shamrock Rovers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
St Patricks
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Shamrock Rovers
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
St Patricks
1–1–4
Shamrock Rovers
(6 last)
- St Patricks2-2Shamrock Rovers
- Shamrock Rovers1-0St Patricks
- St Patricks0-1Shamrock Rovers
- Shamrock Rovers2-0St Patricks
- St Patricks1-0Shamrock Rovers
- Shamrock Rovers4-0St Patricks
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Shamrock Rovers: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St Patricks | Shamrock Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.8 | 1.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 7.5 | 1.7 / 4.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · St Patricks 1–1–4 Shamrock Rovers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Republic of Ireland FAI Cup | St Patricks | 2-2 HT 0-2 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 29/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 1-0 HT 1-0 | St Patricks |
| 10/04/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 20/02/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 2-0 HT 0-0 | St Patricks |
| 17/10/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | St Patricks | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Shamrock Rovers |
| 19/05/25 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Shamrock Rovers | 4-0 HT 2-0 | St Patricks |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 56 |
| 2 | St Patricks | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 25 | 50 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 50 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 40 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 39 | 36 |
| 6 | Derry City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 34 |
| 7 | Galway United | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 34 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 32 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 48 | 23 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | St Patricks | Shamrock Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Waterford FC | 0-2 L | 2-0 W |
| Drogheda United | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Shelbourne | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Derry City | 1-1 D | 3-3 D |
| Dundalk | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Galway United | 3-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Sligo Rovers | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: St Patricks (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
St Patricks
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 21/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 02/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 24/07 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 14 | 3 | W |
| 12/06 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
Shamrock Rovers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/08 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 31/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/06 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 22/06 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/06 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 29/05 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a St Patricks win (38%). Probabilities: St Patricks 38%, draw 31%, Shamrock Rovers 31%.
How many goals are expected in St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model expects 2.34 goals (St Patricks 1.24 · Shamrock Rovers 1.1), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.