Football · Republic of Ireland Premier Division · 11/09, 20:45
Prediction: Waterford FC vs Dundalk
Team pages: Waterford FC · Dundalk
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.41Total
Waterford FC2.09
Dundalk1.32
1X2
Waterford FC
Draw
Dundalk
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Waterford FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Dundalk
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Waterford FC
4–1–1
Dundalk
(6 last)
- Dundalk2-3Waterford FC
- Waterford FC3-3Dundalk
- Dundalk5-0Waterford FC
- Waterford FC2-1Dundalk
- Dundalk0-2Waterford FC
- Waterford FC4-1Dundalk
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Waterford FC (rating 1582 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Waterford FC: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Waterford FC | Dundalk | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 5.7 | 2.6 / 6.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Waterford FC 4–1–1 Dundalk
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Waterford FC |
| 04/05/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Dundalk |
| 13/03/26 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Waterford FC |
| 13/09/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Dundalk |
| 28/06/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Dundalk | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Waterford FC |
| 10/05/24 Republic of Ireland Premier Division | Waterford FC | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Dundalk |
Standings · Republic of Ireland Premier Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 27 | 56 |
| 2 | St Patricks | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 45 | 25 | 50 |
| 3 | Bohemians Dublin | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 50 |
| 4 | Dundalk | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 46 | 45 | 40 |
| 5 | Shelbourne | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 39 | 36 |
| 6 | Derry City | 29 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 41 | 40 | 34 |
| 7 | Galway United | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 36 | 42 | 34 |
| 8 | Waterford FC | 29 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 39 | 48 | 32 |
| 9 | Drogheda United | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 28 |
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 23 | 48 | 23 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Waterford FC | Dundalk |
|---|---|---|
| St Patricks | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Sligo Rovers | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Bohemians Dublin | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Shelbourne | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Galway United | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Shamrock Rovers | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Waterford FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Waterford FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 0 | W |
| 21/08 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
3-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 25/07 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 10/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 03/07 | Derry City Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/06 | Dundalk Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/06 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 12/06 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
Dundalk
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 21/08 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Shamrock Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-3 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 31/07 | Sligo Rovers Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 24/07 | St Patricks Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 10/07 | Drogheda United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 03/07 | Shelbourne Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 26/06 | Waterford FC Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 19/06 | Bohemians Dublin Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 12/06 | Galway United Republic of Ireland Premier Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Waterford FC vs Dundalk?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Waterford FC win (54%). Probabilities: Waterford FC 54%, draw 23%, Dundalk 23%.
How many goals are expected in Waterford FC vs Dundalk?
The model expects 3.41 goals (Waterford FC 2.09 · Dundalk 1.32), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Waterford FC vs Dundalk?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.