Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 02/09, 21:00
Prediction: Macara vs Manta FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.37Total
Macara1.69
Manta FC0.68
1X2
Macara
Draw
Manta FC
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Macara
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Manta FC
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Macara
2–2–2
Manta FC
(6 last)
- Manta FC0-1Macara
- Manta FC1-3Macara
- Macara2-2Manta FC
- Macara1-3Manta FC
- Manta FC1-1Macara
- Manta FC3-1Macara
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Macara 1568 · Manta FC 1423
| Macara | Draw | Manta FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 61% | 25% | 14% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.37 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Macara (rating 1568 vs 1423).
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Macara | Manta FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 44/44/11% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4 | 0.8 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Macara 2–2–2 Manta FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Macara |
| 27/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Manta FC | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Macara |
| 31/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Macara | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Manta FC |
| 19/10/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Macara | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Manta FC |
| 30/08/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Manta FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Macara |
| 16/06/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie B | Manta FC | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Macara |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 4 | Macara | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 41 |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 39 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Libertad | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 37 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 36 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 | 36 |
| 10 | Leones FC | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 35 |
| 11 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | 32 |
| 13 | Orense | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 39 | 30 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 38 | 29 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 37 | 20 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Macara | Manta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 1-1 D | 1-5 L |
| Barcelona Guayaquil | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Guayaquil City | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Deportivo Cuenca | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Delfin SC | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Mushuc Runa | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Tecnico Universitario | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| LDU Quito | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Macara (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Macara
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/08 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 09/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 26/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 14/07 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 05/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Manta FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-3 | 1-5 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 11/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/07 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 23/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 19/07 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 15/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 11/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Macara vs Manta FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Macara win (61%). Probabilities: Macara 61%, draw 25%, Manta FC 14%.
How many goals are expected in Macara vs Manta FC?
The model expects 2.37 goals (Macara 1.69 · Manta FC 0.68), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Macara vs Manta FC?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.