Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 02/09, 02:00
Prediction: LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa
Team pages: LDU Quito · Mushuc Runa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
LDU Quito1.48
Mushuc Runa0.89
1X2
LDU Quito
Draw
Mushuc Runa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
LDU Quito
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Mushuc Runa
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
LDU Quito
4–1–1
Mushuc Runa
(6 last)
- Mushuc Runa1-3LDU Quito
- LDU Quito2-1Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa1-0LDU Quito
- LDU Quito1-1Mushuc Runa
- Mushuc Runa0-1LDU Quito
- LDU Quito3-1Mushuc Runa
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours LDU Quito: 4-1-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| LDU Quito | Mushuc Runa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.3 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.4 | 2.7 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · LDU Quito 4–1–1 Mushuc Runa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 1-3 HT 0-0 | LDU Quito |
| 03/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| 14/04/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | LDU Quito |
| 26/10/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Mushuc Runa |
| 04/05/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Mushuc Runa | 0-1 HT 0-1 | LDU Quito |
| 03/12/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | LDU Quito | 3-1 HT 2-1 | Mushuc Runa |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 4 | Macara | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 41 |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 39 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Libertad | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 37 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 36 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 | 36 |
| 10 | Leones FC | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 35 |
| 11 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | 32 |
| 13 | Orense | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 39 | 30 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 38 | 29 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 37 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | LDU Quito | Mushuc Runa |
|---|---|---|
| Emelec | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Independiente del Valle | 0-2 L | 1-4 L |
| Delfin SC | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Barcelona Guayaquil | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Manta FC | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Club Atletico Libertad | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: LDU Quito (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
LDU Quito
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/08 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 08/08 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 04/08 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 23/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 16/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
Mushuc Runa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 10/08 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 01/08 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 13 | 2 | L |
| 24/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 20/07 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/07 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a LDU Quito win (50%). Probabilities: LDU Quito 50%, draw 29%, Mushuc Runa 21%.
How many goals are expected in LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa?
The model expects 2.36 goals (LDU Quito 1.48 · Mushuc Runa 0.89), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in LDU Quito vs Mushuc Runa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.