Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 02/09, 23:30
Prediction: Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City
Team pages: Deportivo Cuenca · Guayaquil City
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.13Total
Deportivo Cuenca1.02
Guayaquil City1.11
1X2
Deportivo Cuenca
Draw
Guayaquil City
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 64%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Cuenca
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Guayaquil City
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Cuenca
4–1–1
Guayaquil City
(6 last)
- Guayaquil City0-1Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca2-1Guayaquil City
- Guayaquil City0-0Deportivo Cuenca
- Deportivo Cuenca4-1Guayaquil City
- Deportivo Cuenca1-0Guayaquil City
- Guayaquil City2-1Deportivo Cuenca
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guayaquil City (rating 1439 vs 1508).
- H2H favours Deportivo Cuenca: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Cuenca | Guayaquil City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 1.6 | 1.3 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 11/67/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cuenca 4–1–1 Guayaquil City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 08/02/26 America Friendlies | Deportivo Cuenca | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Guayaquil City |
| 16/09/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Cuenca |
| 15/04/23 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Guayaquil City |
| 12/07/22 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Deportivo Cuenca | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Guayaquil City |
| 31/07/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Guayaquil City | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Cuenca |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 27 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 66 | 28 | 68 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 47 | 25 | 44 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 26 | 44 |
| 4 | Macara | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 26 | 42 |
| 5 | LDU Quito | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 22 | 41 |
| 6 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 28 | 22 | 39 |
| 7 | Club Atletico Libertad | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 37 |
| 8 | Mushuc Runa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 34 | 36 |
| 9 | Guayaquil City | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 30 | 36 |
| 10 | Leones FC | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 28 | 35 |
| 11 | Emelec | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 31 | 32 |
| 12 | Deportivo Cuenca | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | 32 |
| 13 | Orense | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 39 | 30 |
| 14 | Tecnico Universitario | 27 | 9 | 2 | 16 | 26 | 38 | 29 |
| 15 | Delfin SC | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 29 | 24 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 14 | 37 | 20 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Cuenca | Guayaquil City |
|---|---|---|
| Tecnico Universitario | 1-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Manta FC | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Emelec | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Macara | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Leones FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Guayaquil City (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Cuenca
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 22/08 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 11/08 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 02/08 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 28/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 12 | 7 | W |
| 22/07 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 16/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 12/07 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
Guayaquil City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 22/08 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 15/08 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 10/08 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/08 | Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 27/07 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 23/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | D |
| 19/07 | Manta FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 16/07 | Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 12/07 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Guayaquil City win (36%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cuenca 31%, draw 32%, Guayaquil City 36%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City?
The model expects 2.13 goals (Deportivo Cuenca 1.02 · Guayaquil City 1.11), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Guayaquil City?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.