Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 22/07, 02:00
Prediction: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs Barcelona Guayaquil
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.53Total
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador1.4
Barcelona Guayaquil1.14
1X2
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
Draw
Barcelona Guayaquil
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Barcelona Guayaquil
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
1–4–1
Barcelona Guayaquil
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | Barcelona Guayaquil | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 1.9 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.5 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1–4–1 Barcelona Guayaquil
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/03/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
| 07/12/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
| 03/11/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 01/09/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
| 11/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Barcelona Guayaquil |
| 26/08/24 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A | Barcelona Guayaquil | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador |
Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 19 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 19 | 46 |
| 2 | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 18 | 32 |
| 3 | SD Aucas | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 32 |
| 4 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Macara | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 21 | 29 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 15 | 28 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cuenca | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 23 | 28 |
| 8 | Emelec | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 27 |
| 9 | Leones FC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 24 |
| 10 | Tecnico Universitario | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 20 | 23 |
| 11 | Orense | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 26 | 23 |
| 12 | Guayaquil City | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 23 |
| 13 | Delfin SC | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 23 |
| 14 | Mushuc Runa | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 21 |
| 15 | Club Atletico Libertad | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 25 | 21 |
| 16 | Manta FC | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 7 | 24 | 13 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | Barcelona Guayaquil |
|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Cuenca | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Emelec | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Delfin SC | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| SD Aucas | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Barcelona Guayaquil (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Universidad Catolica del Ecuador
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/07 | LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/07 | Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | L |
| 06/07 | Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 01/06 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | El Nacional Ecuador Cup |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 14/05 | Independiente del Valle Ecuador Super Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
Barcelona Guayaquil
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07 | Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 13/07 | Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Deportivo Cuenca Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/06 | Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Cruzeiro Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 25/05 | Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | Universidad Catolica Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 12/05 | FC Insutec Ecuador Cup |
1-0 | 4-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Universidad Catolica del Ecuador win (42%). Probabilities: Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 42%, draw 29%, Barcelona Guayaquil 29%.
How many goals are expected in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
The model expects 2.53 goals (Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1.4 · Barcelona Guayaquil 1.14), with a 53% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Universidad Catolica del Ecuador vs Barcelona Guayaquil?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.