Football · Australia Queensland Premier League Women · 01/08, 08:00
Prediction: Peninsula Power (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)
Team pages: Peninsula Power (W) · Palm Beach SC (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.81Total
Peninsula Power (W)2.01
Palm Beach SC (W)1.8
1X2
Peninsula Power (W)
Draw
Palm Beach SC (W)
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Peninsula Power (W)
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Palm Beach SC (W)
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Peninsula Power (W)
1–0
Palm Beach SC (W)
(1 last)
- Palm Beach SC (W)2-3Peninsula Power (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Peninsula Power (W) 1485 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1466
| Peninsula Power (W) | Draw | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 23% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 23% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Peninsula Power (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.5 | 1.6 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1.4 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.3 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Peninsula Power (W) 1–0–0 Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 Australia Queensland Premier League Women | Palm Beach SC (W) | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Peninsula Power (W) |
Standings · Australia Queensland Premier League Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Lakes United (W) | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 49 | 11 | 35 |
| 2 | Caboolture FC (W) | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 41 | 13 | 34 |
| 3 | The Gap NPL (W) | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 40 | 41 | 25 |
| 4 | Mitchelton FC (W) | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 24 |
| 5 | Grange Thistle (W) | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 30 | 18 |
| 6 | Palm Beach SC (W) | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 29 | 18 |
| 7 | Peninsula Power (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 39 | 17 |
| 8 | Virginia United SC (W) | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 17 |
| 9 | Logan Lightning (W) | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 15 |
| 10 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 33 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Peninsula Power (W) | Palm Beach SC (W) |
|---|---|---|
| The Gap NPL (W) | 2-3 L | 3-5 L |
| Caboolture FC (W) | 1-4 L | 1-1 D |
| Moreton City Excelsior (W) | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Virginia United SC (W) | 3-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Grange Thistle (W) | 2-4 L | 3-0 W |
| Mitchelton FC (W) | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| North Lakes United (W) | 1-0 W | 1-3 L |
| Logan Lightning (W) | 2-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Peninsula Power (W) (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Peninsula Power (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 17/07 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/07 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 20/06 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 15/06 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 09/06 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Palm Beach SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | L |
Palm Beach SC (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | North Lakes United (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 19/07 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/07 | Mitchelton FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 04/07 | The Gap NPL (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-5 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Caboolture FC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Moreton City Excelsior (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Virginia United SC (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 26/05 | Logan Lightning (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
0-4 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Grange Thistle (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Peninsula Power (W) Australia Queensland Premier League Women |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Peninsula Power (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Peninsula Power (W) win (43%). Probabilities: Peninsula Power (W) 43%, draw 23%, Palm Beach SC (W) 34%.
How many goals are expected in Peninsula Power (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model expects 3.81 goals (Peninsula Power (W) 2.01 · Palm Beach SC (W) 1.8), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Peninsula Power (W) vs Palm Beach SC (W)?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.