Football · Finland Ykkonen · 29/08, 13:00

Prediction: FC Jazz vs FC Inter II

Team pages: FC Jazz · FC Inter II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

FC Jazz2.06

FC Inter II1.25

1X2

56% 22% 23%

FC Jazz Draw FC Inter II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Jazz 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWDDDWD

FC Inter II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LWLLDDWLLL

Head-to-head

FC Jazz 1–2–1 FC Inter II (4 last)

FC Inter II1-1FC Jazz
FC Inter II2-1FC Jazz
FC Jazz2-2FC Inter II
FC Inter II1-2FC Jazz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Jazz 1511 · FC Inter II 1454

	FC Jazz	Draw	FC Inter II
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	56%	21%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Jazz (rating 1511 vs 1454).
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Jazz	FC Inter II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	1.1 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.4	2.5 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.33

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.98

2 (+1)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.90

Under 3.751.90

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.60 → 1.60	Bet365 1.60
X	4.33 → 4.33	Pinn 4.64
2	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 4.62 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:56 +27’	1.60	4.33	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:47	1.55	4.64	4.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Jazz 1–2–1 FC Inter II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Jazz
19/09/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	2-1 HT 0-0	FC Jazz
01/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	2-2 HT 1-1	FC Inter II
18/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Jazz

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	21	13	5	3	46	16	44
2	RoPS	21	10	7	4	45	32	37
3	SalPa	21	9	6	6	38	34	33
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	21	8	8	5	38	30	32
5	VJS Vantaa	21	7	10	4	38	29	31
6	OLS	21	8	7	6	41	34	31
7	JJK	21	7	7	7	47	41	28
8	FC Jazz	21	8	6	7	30	29	27
9	TPV	21	6	6	9	30	38	24
10	FC Inter II	21	5	5	11	32	49	20
11	KUPS Akatemia	21	3	6	12	36	48	15
12	KPV	21	4	3	14	23	64	15

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Jazz	FC Inter II
VJS Vantaa	1-1 D	1-1 D
SalPa	2-0 W	1-2 L
OLS	1-1 D	3-1 W
RoPS	2-2 D	0-2 L
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	1-0 W
TPV	4-0 W	0-1 L
JJK	3-1 W	1-11 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-2 L	0-1 L
KPV	0-1 L	2-3 L
Tampere Utd	0-1 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 3 L	2 W 2 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: FC Jazz (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Jazz

LLLWWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	6	4	D
15/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
09/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
05/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
30/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	11	3	D
24/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
18/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
11/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
02/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
25/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

FC Inter II

LWLLDDWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
16/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-3	7	3	L
11/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
07/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
31/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	8	10	D
24/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	7	1	D
18/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
10/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
04/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
25/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-6	1-11	0	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Jazz vs FC Inter II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Jazz win (56%). Probabilities: FC Jazz 56%, draw 22%, FC Inter II 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Jazz vs FC Inter II?

The model expects 3.32 goals (FC Jazz 2.06 · FC Inter II 1.25), with a 56% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Jazz vs FC Inter II?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.