Football · Finland Ykkonen · 29/08, 13:00

Prediction: OLS vs Tampere Utd

Team pages: OLS · Tampere Utd

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.4Total

OLS1.73

Tampere Utd1.67

1X2

39% 24% 37%

OLS Draw Tampere Utd

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

OLS 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDWWDDL

Tampere Utd 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWLWDDWDDW

Head-to-head

OLS 2–2–2 Tampere Utd (6 last)

Tampere Utd3-0OLS
Tampere Utd0-2OLS
OLS1-3Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd2-2OLS
Tampere Utd0-0OLS
OLS2-1Tampere Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OLS 1477 · Tampere Utd 1561

	OLS	Draw	Tampere Utd
Our model	39%	25%	37%
Market	39%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1477 vs 1561).
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OLS	Tampere Utd
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 2.4	2.2 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 1	1.2 / 0.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 6	3.3 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.70

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.83 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.45 → 2.45	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
13:51 +43’	2.30	3.70	2.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:28 +1’	2.83	3.70	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · OLS 2–2–2 Tampere Utd

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Date	Home	Score	Away
11/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	3-0 HT 2-0	OLS
18/09/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	0-2 HT 0-1	OLS
30/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	1-3 HT 0-2	Tampere Utd
28/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	2-2 HT 0-1	OLS
04/08/18 Finland Kakkonen Group C	Tampere Utd	0-0 HT 0-0	OLS
19/05/18 Finland Kakkonen Group C	OLS	2-1 HT 1-0	Tampere Utd

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	21	13	5	3	46	16	44
2	RoPS	21	10	7	4	45	32	37
3	SalPa	21	9	6	6	38	34	33
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	21	8	8	5	38	30	32
5	VJS Vantaa	21	7	10	4	38	29	31
6	OLS	21	8	7	6	41	34	31
7	JJK	21	7	7	7	47	41	28
8	FC Jazz	21	8	6	7	30	29	27
9	TPV	21	6	6	9	30	38	24
10	FC Inter II	21	5	5	11	32	49	20
11	KUPS Akatemia	21	3	6	12	36	48	15
12	KPV	21	4	3	14	23	64	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OLS	Tampere Utd
SalPa	1-4 L	0-1 L
RoPS	3-3 D	4-0 W
FC Jazz	1-1 D	1-0 W
TPV	4-2 W	1-1 D
KPV	2-1 W	6-0 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-1 D	4-4 D
VJS Vantaa	3-4 L	1-0 W
FC Inter II	1-3 L	2-2 D
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 3 L	5 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OLS

LDLLDWWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	1-4	7	3	L
15/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-1	3-3	6	5	D
09/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
05/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	4-2	9	4	W
26/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
18/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-4	1	3	L
04/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
28/06	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
11/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-3	7	0	L

Tampere Utd

WWLWDDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	11	4	W
15/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
11/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
31/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-4	0	5	D
24/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	4	1	D
18/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
04/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-2	3	8	W
25/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OLS vs Tampere Utd?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OLS win (39%). Probabilities: OLS 39%, draw 24%, Tampere Utd 37%.

How many goals are expected in OLS vs Tampere Utd?

The model expects 3.4 goals (OLS 1.73 · Tampere Utd 1.67), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in OLS vs Tampere Utd?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.