Football · Finland Ykkonen · 23/08, 16:00

Prediction: VJS Vantaa vs FC Jazz

Team pages: VJS Vantaa · FC Jazz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

VJS Vantaa1.98

FC Jazz1.28

1X2

53% 23% 24%

VJS Vantaa Draw FC Jazz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

VJS Vantaa 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDDDWD

FC Jazz 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWDDDW

Head-to-head

VJS Vantaa 1–2–2 FC Jazz (5 last)

FC Jazz1-1VJS Vantaa
FC Jazz4-1VJS Vantaa
VJS Vantaa3-3FC Jazz
VJS Vantaa3-1FC Jazz
FC Jazz3-1VJS Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VJS Vantaa 1538 · FC Jazz 1512

	VJS Vantaa	Draw	FC Jazz
Our model	53%	24%	24%
Market	53%	23%	24%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FC Jazz: 2-2-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VJS Vantaa	FC Jazz
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.6	1.6 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.1 / 7.4	2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X4.00

23.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.88

2 (+0.75)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.95

Under 3.51.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 5 moves · last 15:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.70▲	Pinn 1.74
X	4.50 → 4.00▼	Pinn 4.23 ★
2	4.75 → 3.75▼	Pinn 3.94

See the full journey (5)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 6.5%

Time*	1	X	2
20:01 +8’	1.48	4.50	4.75
07:04 +5’	1.53▲	4.33▼	4.50▼
10:06 +2’	1.55▲	4.33	4.33▼
13:47 +1’	1.70▲	4.00▼	3.70▼
15:26 +3’	1.70	4.00	3.75▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
19:53 +16’	1.57	4.46	4.57
07:09 +1’	1.57▼	4.47▲	4.57
13:39 +9’	1.75▲	4.16▼	3.77▼
15:23 +6’	1.74▼	4.23▲	3.94▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.5

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VJS Vantaa 1–2–2 FC Jazz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	1-1 HT 0-0	VJS Vantaa
29/07/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Jazz	4-1 HT 2-1	VJS Vantaa
08/05/22 Finland Kakkonen Group B	VJS Vantaa	3-3 HT 2-3	FC Jazz
02/10/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B	VJS Vantaa	3-1 HT 1-0	FC Jazz
10/07/21 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Jazz	3-1 HT 1-0	VJS Vantaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	21	13	5	3	46	16	44
2	RoPS	21	10	7	4	45	32	37
3	SalPa	21	9	6	6	38	34	33
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	21	8	8	5	38	30	32
5	OLS	21	8	7	6	41	34	31
6	VJS Vantaa	20	7	9	4	37	28	30
7	JJK	21	7	7	7	47	41	28
8	FC Jazz	20	8	5	7	29	28	26
9	TPV	21	6	6	9	30	38	24
10	FC Inter II	21	5	5	11	32	49	20
11	KUPS Akatemia	21	3	6	12	36	48	15
12	KPV	21	4	3	14	23	64	15

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VJS Vantaa	FC Jazz
JJK	4-4 D	3-1 W
KPV	2-1 W	0-1 L
PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-0 D	1-2 L
FC Inter II	1-1 D	1-1 D
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	2-2 D
Tampere Utd	0-1 L	0-1 L
OLS	4-3 W	1-1 D
SalPa	2-2 D	2-0 W
TPV	2-1 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 5 D 1 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VJS Vantaa

WDWLWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-4	5	4	D
09/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
05/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
31/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	9	10	D
26/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
22/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	3-1	7	4	W
18/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
11/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-3	8	3	W
04/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	9	5	D
29/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	9	1	W

FC Jazz

DLLLWWDDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
09/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
05/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	1	6	D
30/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	11	3	D
24/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
18/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
11/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
02/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
25/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
12/06	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VJS Vantaa vs FC Jazz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VJS Vantaa win (53%). Probabilities: VJS Vantaa 53%, draw 23%, FC Jazz 24%.

How many goals are expected in VJS Vantaa vs FC Jazz?

The model expects 3.25 goals (VJS Vantaa 1.98 · FC Jazz 1.28), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VJS Vantaa vs FC Jazz?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.