Football · Finland Ykkonen · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: Tampere Utd vs RoPS

Team pages: Tampere Utd · RoPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.35Total

Tampere Utd1.84

RoPS1.51

1X2

45% 24% 31%

Tampere Utd Draw RoPS

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tampere Utd 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WWWLWDDWDD

RoPS 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWDWLDWD

Head-to-head

Tampere Utd 3–0 RoPS (3 last)

RoPS0-1Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd4-0RoPS
RoPS0-2Tampere Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd 1559 · RoPS 1535

	Tampere Utd	Draw	RoPS
Our model	45%	24%	31%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 3.35 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tampere Utd: 3-0-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampere Utd	RoPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1	2.5 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.1	1.2 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	50/10/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.8	2.9 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.12 ★
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.88 → 2.88	Pinn 2.99

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 7.9%

Time*	1	X	2
20:10 +8’	2.00	3.70	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +6’	2.12	3.67	2.99

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd 3–0–0 RoPS

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-1 HT 0-0	Tampere Utd
25/07/25 Finland Ykkonen	Tampere Utd	4-0 HT 1-0	RoPS
10/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-2 HT 0-1	Tampere Utd

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	20	12	5	3	42	16	41
2	RoPS	20	10	7	3	45	28	37
3	OLS	20	8	7	5	40	30	31
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	20	8	7	5	36	28	31
5	VJS Vantaa	20	7	9	4	37	28	30
6	SalPa	20	8	6	6	34	33	30
7	JJK	20	7	6	7	45	39	27
8	FC Jazz	20	8	5	7	29	28	26
9	TPV	20	5	6	9	29	38	21
10	FC Inter II	20	5	5	10	32	48	20
11	KPV	20	4	3	13	21	60	15
12	KUPS Akatemia	20	2	6	12	32	46	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampere Utd	RoPS
TPV	1-1 D	3-6 L
JJK	0-0 D	4-0 W
KPV	6-0 W	1-1 D
PK Keski-Uusimaa	4-4 D	4-3 W
FC Inter II	2-2 D	2-0 W
VJS Vantaa	1-0 W	2-0 W
SalPa	0-1 L	2-2 D
KUPS Akatemia	3-2 W	2-1 W
FC Jazz	1-0 W	2-2 D
OLS	3-0 W	3-3 D
Record vs common	5 W 4 D 1 L	5 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: RoPS (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd

WWWLWDDWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	8	3	D
11/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
31/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-4	0	5	D
24/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	4	1	D
18/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
04/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-2	3	8	W
25/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	4	0	W

RoPS

WDWWDWLDWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-3	3-3	8	5	D
11/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
05/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
01/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-6	9	1	L
25/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
20/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-3	4	7	W
27/06	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-2	12	3	D
13/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd vs RoPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd win (45%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd 45%, draw 24%, RoPS 31%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd vs RoPS?

The model expects 3.35 goals (Tampere Utd 1.84 · RoPS 1.51), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd vs RoPS?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.