Football · Finland Ykkonen · 22/08, 14:00

Prediction: FC Inter II vs TPV

Team pages: FC Inter II · TPV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.62Total

FC Inter II1.84

TPV1.78

1X2

40% 23% 37%

FC Inter II Draw TPV

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

FC Inter II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDDWLL

TPV 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLWLDD

Head-to-head

FC Inter II 3–1–0 TPV (4 last)

TPV1-1FC Inter II
FC Inter II6-0TPV
FC Inter II4-1TPV
TPV0-4FC Inter II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Inter II 1461 · TPV 1514

	FC Inter II	Draw	TPV
Our model	39%	24%	37%
Market	40%	22%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 3.62 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours TPV (rating 1461 vs 1514).
H2H favours FC Inter II: 3-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Inter II	TPV
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.4	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	1.1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.5	3.2 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X4.00

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.82

2 (0)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.39 ★
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.40 → 2.40	Pinn 2.54

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:15 +2’	2.25	4.00	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:12 +5’	2.39	3.77	2.54

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Inter II 3–1–0 TPV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	TPV	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Inter II
23/08/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Inter II	6-0 HT 2-0	TPV
21/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	FC Inter II	4-1 HT 3-1	TPV
19/05/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	TPV	0-4 HT 0-2	FC Inter II

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	20	12	5	3	42	16	41
2	RoPS	20	10	7	3	45	28	37
3	OLS	20	8	7	5	40	30	31
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	20	8	7	5	36	28	31
5	VJS Vantaa	20	7	9	4	37	28	30
6	SalPa	20	8	6	6	34	33	30
7	JJK	20	7	6	7	45	39	27
8	FC Jazz	20	8	5	7	29	28	26
9	TPV	20	5	6	9	29	38	21
10	FC Inter II	20	5	5	10	32	48	20
11	KPV	20	4	3	13	21	60	15
12	KUPS Akatemia	20	2	6	12	32	46	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Inter II	TPV
KPV	2-3 L	3-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa	0-1 L	2-2 D
KUPS Akatemia	1-0 W	3-1 W
VJS Vantaa	1-1 D	1-2 L
Tampere Utd	2-2 D	1-1 D
SalPa	1-2 L	1-1 D
RoPS	0-2 L	6-3 W
OLS	3-1 W	2-4 L
JJK	1-11 L	1-0 W
FC Jazz	1-1 D	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 5 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: TPV (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Inter II

DLWLLDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-3	7	3	L
11/08	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
07/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
31/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	8	10	D
24/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	7	1	D
18/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
10/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
04/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
25/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-6	1-11	0	8	L
12/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	2	5	D

TPV

DLWWWLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	3	3	D
11/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	11	3	D
05/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-4	5	4	L
01/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	6-3	0	1	W
24/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
18/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
11/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-1	7	3	W
05/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
29/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
14/06	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-2	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Inter II vs TPV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Inter II win (40%). Probabilities: FC Inter II 40%, draw 23%, TPV 37%.

How many goals are expected in FC Inter II vs TPV?

The model expects 3.62 goals (FC Inter II 1.84 · TPV 1.78), with a 54% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Inter II vs TPV?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.