Football · Finland Ykkonen · 05/08, 17:30

Prediction: RoPS vs FC Jazz

Team pages: RoPS · FC Jazz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

RoPS2.13

FC Jazz1.15

1X2

59% 21% 19%

RoPS Draw FC Jazz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

RoPS 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDLWDWWDWL

FC Jazz 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WLDDLLLWWD

Head-to-head

RoPS 3–3 FC Jazz (6 last)

FC Jazz2-1RoPS
RoPS2-1FC Jazz
RoPS3-1FC Jazz
FC Jazz3-1RoPS
FC Jazz1-0RoPS
RoPS3-1FC Jazz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · RoPS 1543 · FC Jazz 1488

	RoPS	Draw	FC Jazz
Our model	59%	22%	19%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RoPS (rating 1543 vs 1488).
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	RoPS	FC Jazz
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.4	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.6	1.5 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	3.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.82

2 (+1)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 18:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.40 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53
X	4.50 → 4.20▼	Pinn 4.70 ★
2	5.50 → 4.50▼	Pinn 4.71

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +3’	1.40	4.50	5.50
17:07 +6’	1.50▲	4.33▼	4.50▼
18:17 +2’	1.53▲	4.20▼	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
17:13 +1’	1.62	4.50	4.18
18:18 +1’	1.53▼	4.70▲	4.71▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · RoPS 3–0–3 FC Jazz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	2-1 HT 0-1	RoPS
04/10/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	2-1 HT 0-1	FC Jazz
16/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Jazz
08/06/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	3-1 HT 3-0	RoPS
19/10/24 Finland Ykkonen	FC Jazz	1-0 HT 0-0	RoPS
20/07/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	3-1 HT 2-1	FC Jazz

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	17	11	3	3	35	15	36
2	RoPS	17	9	5	3	38	22	32
3	OLS	17	7	5	5	32	24	26
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	17	7	5	5	33	26	26
5	SalPa	17	7	5	5	31	29	26
6	VJS Vantaa	17	6	7	4	31	23	25
7	JJK	17	7	4	6	40	33	25
8	FC Jazz	17	7	3	7	24	25	21
9	TPV	17	5	4	8	25	32	19
10	FC Inter II	17	4	5	8	29	44	17
11	KPV	17	3	3	11	17	50	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	17	2	5	10	29	41	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	RoPS	FC Jazz
TPV	3-6 L	4-0 W
JJK	4-0 W	3-1 W
KPV	1-1 D	0-1 L
FC Inter II	2-0 W	1-1 D
PK Keski-Uusimaa	4-3 W	1-2 L
SalPa	2-2 D	1-2 L
VJS Vantaa	2-0 W	1-1 D
Tampere Utd	0-1 L	0-1 L
OLS	1-1 D	2-1 W
KUPS Akatemia	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	5 W 3 D 2 L	3 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: RoPS (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

RoPS

WDLWDWWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-6	9	1	L
25/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
20/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-3	4	7	W
27/06	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-2	12	3	D
13/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
06/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
02/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/05	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	8	1	W

FC Jazz

WLDDLLLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	11	3	D
24/07	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	4-0	5	3	W
18/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	7	3	W
11/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-2	1	7	L
02/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
25/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
12/06	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	7	5	D
06/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	5	1	D
28/05	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-2	2	6	L
24/05	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-1	3	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in RoPS vs FC Jazz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a RoPS win (59%). Probabilities: RoPS 59%, draw 21%, FC Jazz 19%.

How many goals are expected in RoPS vs FC Jazz?

The model expects 3.28 goals (RoPS 2.13 · FC Jazz 1.15), with a 58% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in RoPS vs FC Jazz?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.