Football · Finland Ykkonen · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: Tampere Utd vs TPV

Team pages: Tampere Utd · TPV

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Tampere Utd2.61

TPV1.06

1X2

70% 17% 13%

Tampere Utd Draw TPV

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Tampere Utd 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWLWDDWD

TPV 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DDLWWWLWLD

Head-to-head

Tampere Utd 3–1–2 TPV (6 last)

TPV0-3Tampere Utd
TPV0-2Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd2-4TPV
TPV1-5Tampere Utd
TPV0-0Tampere Utd
Tampere Utd1-2TPV

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd 1576 · TPV 1497

	Tampere Utd	Draw	TPV
Our model	70%	18%	12%
Market	70%	17%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1576 vs 1497).
H2H favours Tampere Utd: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tampere Utd	TPV
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 0.9	2 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/50/0%	60/10/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 4.4	3.4 / 5.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.27

X5.25

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.98

2 (+1.75)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.27 → 1.27	Bet365 1.27
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:55 +1’	1.27	5.25	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd 3–1–2 TPV

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	TPV	0-3 HT 0-3	Tampere Utd
15/04/26 Finland Cup	TPV	0-2 HT 0-1	Tampere Utd
22/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Tampere Utd	2-4 HT 1-1	TPV
13/09/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	TPV	1-5 HT 0-2	Tampere Utd
02/07/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	TPV	0-0 HT 0-0	Tampere Utd
30/04/24 Finland Kakkonen Group B	Tampere Utd	1-2 HT 1-1	TPV

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	19	12	4	3	41	15	40
2	RoPS	19	10	6	3	42	25	36
3	OLS	19	8	6	5	37	27	30
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	19	8	6	5	34	26	30
5	SalPa	19	8	6	5	34	31	30
6	VJS Vantaa	19	7	8	4	33	24	29
7	JJK	19	7	5	7	41	35	26
8	FC Jazz	19	7	5	7	27	28	23
9	TPV	19	5	5	9	28	37	20
10	FC Inter II	19	5	5	9	30	45	20
11	KPV	19	3	3	13	18	58	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	19	2	5	12	30	44	11

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tampere Utd	TPV
JJK	0-0 D	1-0 W
KPV	6-0 W	3-1 W
PK Keski-Uusimaa	4-4 D	2-2 D
FC Inter II	2-2 D	1-1 D
VJS Vantaa	1-0 W	1-2 L
SalPa	0-1 L	1-1 D
KUPS Akatemia	3-2 W	3-1 W
FC Jazz	1-0 W	0-4 L
OLS	3-0 W	2-4 L
RoPS	1-0 W	6-3 W
Record vs common	6 W 3 D 1 L	4 W 3 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd

WWWWLWDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	6	7	D
05/08	KPV Finland Ykkonen	3-0	6-0	6	2	W
31/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	4-4	0	5	D
24/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	2-0	2-2	4	1	D
18/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
10/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
04/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-2	3	8	W
25/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
11/06	OLS Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	4	0	W
06/06	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

TPV

DDLWWWLWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	11	3	D
05/08	OLS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-4	5	4	L
01/08	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	2-1	6-3	0	1	W
24/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
18/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
11/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-1	7	3	W
05/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-0	8	5	W
29/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-2	4	1	L
14/06	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-2	5	8	D
06/06	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	7	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd vs TPV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd win (70%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd 70%, draw 17%, TPV 13%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd vs TPV?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Tampere Utd 2.61 · TPV 1.06), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd vs TPV?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.