Football · Finland Ykkonen · 11/08, 17:30

Prediction: PK Keski-Uusimaa vs FC Inter II

Team pages: PK Keski-Uusimaa · FC Inter II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.86Total

PK Keski-Uusimaa2.47

FC Inter II1.39

1X2

60% 21% 19%

PK Keski-Uusimaa Draw FC Inter II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

PK Keski-Uusimaa 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDWLWDLWDD

FC Inter II 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

LDDLWLLDDW

Head-to-head

PK Keski-Uusimaa 1–1–2 FC Inter II (4 last)

FC Inter II2-1PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa2-1FC Inter II
FC Inter II2-2PK Keski-Uusimaa
PK Keski-Uusimaa3-5FC Inter II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1533 · FC Inter II 1481

	PK Keski-Uusimaa	Draw	FC Inter II
Our model	60%	20%	20%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.86 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PK Keski-Uusimaa (rating 1533 vs 1481).
H2H favours FC Inter II: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PK Keski-Uusimaa	FC Inter II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.7	1.3 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.5 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	2.3 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.2 / 0.2	4.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.82

Under 3.751.98

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.52
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 5.21 ★
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
19:04 +3’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:05 +1’	1.56	5.09	4.13
19:07	1.52▼	5.21▲	4.39▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1–1–2 FC Inter II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/05/26 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	2-1 HT 1-0	PK Keski-Uusimaa
26/09/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Inter II
06/08/25 Finland Ykkonen	FC Inter II	2-2 HT 2-0	PK Keski-Uusimaa
24/05/25 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	3-5 HT 1-2	FC Inter II

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	18	12	3	3	41	15	39
2	RoPS	18	9	6	3	40	24	33
3	OLS	19	8	6	5	37	27	30
4	VJS Vantaa	19	7	8	4	33	24	29
5	SalPa	18	8	5	5	33	30	29
6	PK Keski-Uusimaa	18	7	6	5	33	26	27
7	JJK	18	7	4	7	41	35	25
8	FC Jazz	19	7	5	7	27	28	23
9	FC Inter II	18	5	5	8	30	44	20
10	TPV	18	5	4	9	27	36	19
11	KPV	19	3	3	13	18	58	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	18	2	5	11	29	42	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PK Keski-Uusimaa	FC Inter II
VJS Vantaa	0-0 D	1-1 D
Tampere Utd	4-4 D	2-2 D
SalPa	1-0 W	1-2 L
OLS	1-1 D	3-1 W
FC Jazz	2-1 W	1-1 D
RoPS	3-4 L	0-2 L
KPV	3-1 W	2-4 L
TPV	2-2 D	1-1 D
JJK	3-1 W	1-11 L
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 1 L	1 W 4 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: PK Keski-Uusimaa (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PK Keski-Uusimaa

WDWLWDLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
05/08	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
31/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	4-4	8	5	D
25/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
22/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
18/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-1	3	7	W
05/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-4	6	7	L
28/06	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-0	3-1	11	5	W
14/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	4	8	D
06/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	6	5	W

FC Inter II

LDDLWLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	4	8	W
31/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	8	10	D
24/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	2-2	7	1	D
18/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
10/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
04/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	4	5	W
25/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	0-6	1-11	0	8	L
12/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
06/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	4	5	D
29/05	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-4	2	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs FC Inter II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PK Keski-Uusimaa win (60%). Probabilities: PK Keski-Uusimaa 60%, draw 21%, FC Inter II 19%.

How many goals are expected in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs FC Inter II?

The model expects 3.86 goals (PK Keski-Uusimaa 2.47 · FC Inter II 1.39), with a 50% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in PK Keski-Uusimaa vs FC Inter II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.