Football · Finland Ykkonen · 15/08, 16:00

Prediction: OLS vs RoPS

Team pages: OLS · RoPS

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.74Total

OLS2.02

RoPS1.72

1X2

44% 23% 32%

OLS Draw RoPS

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

OLS 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWLDLLDWWD

RoPS 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDWLDW

Head-to-head

OLS 3–2–1 RoPS (6 last)

RoPS1-1OLS
OLS2-1RoPS
RoPS4-1OLS
RoPS1-1OLS
RoPS0-1OLS
OLS4-0RoPS

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · OLS 1501 · RoPS 1532

	OLS	Draw	RoPS
Our model	44%	23%	33%
Market	44%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours OLS: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	OLS	RoPS
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.8	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	1.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/10/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 5.8	2.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.2	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.80

22.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.85

2 (+0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	2.80 → 2.80	Bet365 2.80

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.8%

Time*	1	X	2
17:50 +6’	2.05	3.80	2.80

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · OLS 3–2–1 RoPS

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/06/26 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	1-1 HT 0-1	OLS
07/07/25 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	2-1 HT 2-0	RoPS
26/04/25 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	4-1 HT 2-0	OLS
05/10/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	1-1 HT 1-0	OLS
17/08/24 Finland Ykkonen	RoPS	0-1 HT 0-0	OLS
03/06/24 Finland Ykkonen	OLS	4-0 HT 2-0	RoPS

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	19	12	4	3	41	15	40
2	RoPS	19	10	6	3	42	25	36
3	OLS	19	8	6	5	37	27	30
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	19	8	6	5	34	26	30
5	SalPa	19	8	6	5	34	31	30
6	VJS Vantaa	19	7	8	4	33	24	29
7	JJK	19	7	5	7	41	35	26
8	FC Jazz	19	7	5	7	27	28	23
9	TPV	19	5	5	9	28	37	20
10	FC Inter II	19	5	5	9	30	45	20
11	KPV	19	3	3	13	18	58	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	19	2	5	12	30	44	11

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	OLS	RoPS
FC Jazz	1-1 D	2-2 D
TPV	4-2 W	3-6 L
KPV	2-1 W	1-1 D
PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-1 D	4-3 W
VJS Vantaa	3-4 L	2-0 W
FC Inter II	1-3 L	2-0 W
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	2-1 W
Tampere Utd	0-3 L	0-1 L
SalPa	5-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	4 W 3 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: RoPS (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

OLS

DWLDLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	8	3	D
05/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	4-2	9	4	W
26/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
18/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	5	3	D
11/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	3-4	1	3	L
04/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-3	3	5	L
28/06	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	10	4	D
11/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	0-3	7	0	L
06/06	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	2-0	5-0	5	4	W
02/06	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

RoPS

LWDWWDWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/08	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	0	4	W
05/08	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	6	6	D
01/08	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-6	9	1	L
25/07	JJK Finland Ykkonen	3-0	4-0	8	4	W
20/07	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
10/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
05/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	2-1	4-3	4	7	W
27/06	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-1	2-2	12	3	D
13/06	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-0	3	3	W
06/06	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in OLS vs RoPS?

According to our model, the most likely result is a OLS win (44%). Probabilities: OLS 44%, draw 23%, RoPS 32%.

How many goals are expected in OLS vs RoPS?

The model expects 3.74 goals (OLS 2.02 · RoPS 1.72), with a 52% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in OLS vs RoPS?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.