Football · Finland Ykkonen · 05/08, 17:30

Prediction: Tampere Utd vs KPV

Team pages: Tampere Utd · KPV

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.78Total
Tampere Utd2.89
KPV0.89
1X2
80% 13% 7%
Tampere Utd Draw KPV
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
2-0
Recent form · 10 last
Tampere Utd 7-2-1 (W-D-L)
WWWWWWLWDD
KPV 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LWLLLWLDLW
Head-to-head
Tampere Utd 2–2 KPV (4 last)
  • KPV0-6Tampere Utd
  • Tampere Utd1-2KPV
  • KPV1-0Tampere Utd
  • Tampere Utd2-0KPV
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tampere Utd 1580 · KPV 1454
Tampere UtdDrawKPV
Our model78%14%8%
Market82%12%6%
Estimated total (ours) 3.78 goals · Bet365 line 4 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampere Utd (rating 1580 vs 1454).
  • Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Tampere UtdKPV
Goals for / against (FT)1.9 / 0.91.5 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)1.1 / 00.5 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.2 / 4.92 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.9 / 0.13.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampere Utd 202 KPV

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
16/05/26
Finland Ykkonen
KPV0-6
HT 0-2
Tampere Utd
03/10/25
Finland Ykkonen
Tampere Utd1-2
HT 0-1
KPV
05/07/25
Finland Ykkonen
KPV1-0
HT 0-0
Tampere Utd
25/04/25
Finland Ykkonen
Tampere Utd2-0
HT 1-0
KPV

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

Swipe the table sideways →

#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Tampere Utd 171133 351536
2 RoPS 17953 382232
3 OLS 17755 322426
4 PK Keski-Uusimaa 17755 332626
5 SalPa 17755 312926
6 VJS Vantaa 17674 312325
7 JJK 17746 403325
8 FC Jazz 17737 242521
9 TPV 17548 253219
10 FC Inter II 17458 294417
11 KPV 173311 175012
12 KUPS Akatemia 172510 294111

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTampere UtdKPV
PK Keski-Uusimaa 4-4 D 1-3 L
FC Inter II 2-2 D 4-2 W
VJS Vantaa 1-0 W 0-5 L
SalPa 0-1 L 3-0 W
KUPS Akatemia 3-2 W 1-4 L
FC Jazz 1-0 W 1-0 W
OLS 3-0 W 1-2 L
RoPS 1-0 W 1-1 D
TPV 3-0 W 1-3 L
JJK 1-0 W 2-3 L
Record vs common 7 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Tampere Utd (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tampere Utd

WWWWWWLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
31/07 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 4-4 05 D
24/07 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 2-2 41 D
18/07 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 53 W
10/07 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 0-1 54 L
04/07 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-2 38 W
25/06 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 72 W
11/06 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-0 40 W
06/06 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 W
29/05 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
3-0 3-0 141 W
22/05 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 23 W

KPV

LWLLLWLDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 SalPa
Finland Ykkonen
2-0 3-0 42 W
26/07 OLS
Finland Ykkonen
0-1 1-2 56 L
20/07 RoPS
Finland Ykkonen
1-0 1-1 71 D
11/07 TPV
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 1-3 53 L
02/07 FC Jazz
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-0 32 W
28/06 PK Keski-Uusimaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-0 1-3 25 L
13/06 JJK
Finland Ykkonen
0-2 2-3 41 L
05/06 KUPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 1-4 44 L
29/05 FC Inter II
Finland Ykkonen
1-1 4-2 76 W
23/05 VJS Vantaa
Finland Ykkonen
0-4 0-5 26 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tampere Utd vs KPV?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Tampere Utd win (80%). Probabilities: Tampere Utd 80%, draw 13%, KPV 7%.

How many goals are expected in Tampere Utd vs KPV?

The model expects 3.78 goals (Tampere Utd 2.89 · KPV 0.89), with a 56% chance of under 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Tampere Utd vs KPV?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.