Football · Finland Ykkonen · 05/08, 18:00

Prediction: VJS Vantaa vs PK Keski-Uusimaa

Team pages: VJS Vantaa · PK Keski-Uusimaa

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

VJS Vantaa2.26

PK Keski-Uusimaa1.4

1X2

56% 21% 22%

VJS Vantaa Draw PK Keski-Uusimaa

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

VJS Vantaa 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDLWDWLWDD

PK Keski-Uusimaa 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWDLWD

Head-to-head

VJS Vantaa 1–0 PK Keski-Uusimaa (1 last)

PK Keski-Uusimaa1-3VJS Vantaa

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VJS Vantaa 1525 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1532

	VJS Vantaa	Draw	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Our model	56%	22%	22%
Market	56%	21%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 14.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VJS Vantaa	PK Keski-Uusimaa
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.6	2.3 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 9.2	2.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	5.4 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.60

X4.20

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.90

Under 3.51.90

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 19:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.60▼	Pinn 1.71 ★
X	4.10 → 4.20▲	Pinn 4.24
2	3.70 → 4.00▲	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:07 +3’	1.67	4.10	3.70
19:31 +12’	1.60▼	4.20▲	4.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:18 +2’	1.63	4.40	4.25
19:41 +2’	1.71▲	4.24▼	3.86▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · VJS Vantaa 1–0–0 PK Keski-Uusimaa

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/07/26 Finland Ykkonen	PK Keski-Uusimaa	1-3 HT 1-0	VJS Vantaa

Standings · Finland Ykkonen

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Tampere Utd	17	11	3	3	35	15	36
2	RoPS	17	9	5	3	38	22	32
3	OLS	17	7	5	5	32	24	26
4	PK Keski-Uusimaa	17	7	5	5	33	26	26
5	SalPa	17	7	5	5	31	29	26
6	VJS Vantaa	17	6	7	4	31	23	25
7	JJK	17	7	4	6	40	33	25
8	FC Jazz	17	7	3	7	24	25	21
9	TPV	17	5	4	8	25	32	19
10	FC Inter II	17	4	5	8	29	44	17
11	KPV	17	3	3	11	17	50	12
12	KUPS Akatemia	17	2	5	10	29	41	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VJS Vantaa	PK Keski-Uusimaa
KUPS Akatemia	2-2 D	3-0 W
Tampere Utd	0-1 L	4-4 D
OLS	4-3 W	1-1 D
SalPa	2-2 D	1-0 W
TPV	2-1 W	2-2 D
RoPS	0-2 L	3-4 L
FC Jazz	1-1 D	2-1 W
JJK	2-2 D	3-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	4 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: PK Keski-Uusimaa (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VJS Vantaa

DDLWDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FC Inter II Finland Ykkonen	1-1	1-1	9	10	D
26/07	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	6	5	D
22/07	PK Keski-Uusimaa Finland Ykkonen	0-1	3-1	7	4	W
18/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-0	0-1	11	3	L
11/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	1-1	4-3	8	3	W
04/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	1-2	2-2	9	5	D
29/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	1-0	2-1	9	1	W
13/06	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	0-2	18	3	L
06/06	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-1	12	1	D
02/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	2-1	2-2	3	5	D

PK Keski-Uusimaa

WWDWLWDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Tampere Utd Finland Ykkonen	0-2	4-4	8	5	D
25/07	SalPa Finland Ykkonen	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
22/07	VJS Vantaa Finland Ykkonen	1-0	1-3	5	4	L
18/07	OLS Finland Ykkonen	0-1	1-1	4	3	D
11/07	FC Jazz Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-1	3	7	W
05/07	RoPS Finland Ykkonen	1-2	3-4	6	7	L
28/06	KPV Finland Ykkonen	0-0	3-1	11	5	W
14/06	TPV Finland Ykkonen	0-1	2-2	4	8	D
06/06	JJK Finland Ykkonen	1-0	3-1	6	5	W
29/05	KUPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen	2-0	3-0	9	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VJS Vantaa vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

According to our model, the most likely result is a VJS Vantaa win (56%). Probabilities: VJS Vantaa 56%, draw 21%, PK Keski-Uusimaa 22%.

How many goals are expected in VJS Vantaa vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model expects 3.67 goals (VJS Vantaa 2.26 · PK Keski-Uusimaa 1.4), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in VJS Vantaa vs PK Keski-Uusimaa?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.