Prediction: Riga FC vs Ogre United
Team pages: Riga FC · Ogre United
- Ogre United1-4Riga FC
- Riga FC4-0Ogre United
| Riga FC | Draw | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 14% | 10% |
| Market | 89% | 9% | 3% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Riga FC (rating 1604 vs 1463).
- H2H favours Riga FC: 2-0-0.
- High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Riga FC | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.1 | 1.2 / 2.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.9 | 2.3 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Riga FC 2–0–0 Ogre United
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/26 Latvia Virsliga | Ogre United | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Riga FC |
| 22/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | Riga FC | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Ogre United |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 16 | 62 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72 | 20 | 61 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 23 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 43 |
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 36 |
| 5 | FK Liepaja | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 35 | 27 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 43 | 25 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 41 | 21 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 51 | 20 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 24 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 23 | 61 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Riga FC | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| SC Grobinas | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Tukums 2000 | 3-1 W | 3-2 W |
| FK Jelgava | 3-0 W | 2-0 W |
| FK Auda | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Riga FC (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Gyori ETO UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Vardar Skopje UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 22/07 | Vardar Skopje UEFA Conference League Qualifying |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 18/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 14/07 | Ararat Armenia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 10/07 | Saldus SS/Leevon Latvia Cup |
2-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 07/07 | Ararat Armenia UEFA Champions League Qualifying |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 29/06 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Ogre United
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Valmiera FC Latvia Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | D |
| 06/07 | SK Super Nova Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 30/06 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 22/06 | RFS Latvia Virsliga |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/06 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 11 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riga FC vs Ogre United?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Riga FC win (83%). Probabilities: Riga FC 83%, draw 11%, Ogre United 6%.
How many goals are expected in Riga FC vs Ogre United?
The model expects 4.39 goals (Riga FC 3.2 · Ogre United 1.2), with a 53% chance of over 4 goals.
Will both teams score in Riga FC vs Ogre United?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.