Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 05/09, 15:00

Prediction: Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Mashal Mubarek

Team pages: Sogdiana Jizzakh · Mashal Mubarek

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.04Total

Sogdiana Jizzakh2.22

Mashal Mubarek0.82

1X2

68% 20% 12%

Sogdiana Jizzakh Draw Mashal Mubarek

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sogdiana Jizzakh 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWWWWL

Mashal Mubarek 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLLLLL

Head-to-head

Sogdiana Jizzakh 3–2–1 Mashal Mubarek (6 last)

Mashal Mubarek1-3Sogdiana Jizzakh
Mashal Mubarek1-2Sogdiana Jizzakh
Sogdiana Jizzakh2-0Mashal Mubarek
Sogdiana Jizzakh0-1Mashal Mubarek
Sogdiana Jizzakh2-2Mashal Mubarek
Mashal Mubarek0-0Sogdiana Jizzakh

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sogdiana Jizzakh (rating 1545 vs 1391).
H2H favours Sogdiana Jizzakh: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sogdiana Jizzakh	Mashal Mubarek
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.8	0.5 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	1.4 / 2.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	2.7 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.83

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:58

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.32 → 1.32	Pinn 1.32
X	4.82 → 4.82	Pinn 4.82
2	8.69 → 8.69	Pinn 8.69

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.7%

Time*	1	X	2
15:57 +1’	1.32	4.82	8.69

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogdiana Jizzakh 3–2–1 Mashal Mubarek

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/08/26 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	1-3 HT 0-1	Sogdiana Jizzakh
14/05/26 Uzbekistan Cup	Mashal Mubarek	1-2 HT 0-2	Sogdiana Jizzakh
10/08/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Sogdiana Jizzakh	2-0 HT 1-0	Mashal Mubarek
29/03/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Sogdiana Jizzakh	0-1 HT 0-1	Mashal Mubarek
24/08/22 Uzbekistan Cup	Sogdiana Jizzakh	2-2 HT 2-1	Mashal Mubarek
21/09/21 Uzbekistan PFL	Mashal Mubarek	0-0 HT 0-0	Sogdiana Jizzakh

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	19	14	3	2	45	10	45
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	19	11	7	1	31	18	40
3	Navbahor Namangan	19	11	4	4	31	17	37
4	FK Buxoro	19	10	4	5	28	20	34
5	AGMK	20	9	5	6	28	25	32
6	Lokomotiv Tashkent	19	9	4	6	32	26	31
7	FK Andijan	19	8	3	8	24	20	27
8	Dinamo Samarqand	19	7	5	7	29	30	26
9	Nasaf Qarshi	19	6	7	6	20	18	25
10	Sogdiana Jizzakh	19	7	3	9	32	39	24
11	Qizilqum Zarafshon	19	7	2	10	17	26	23
12	Xorazm Urganch	20	5	5	10	17	29	20
13	Termez Surkhon	19	5	5	9	16	26	20
14	FK Kokand 1912	19	4	7	8	17	26	19
15	FC Bunyodkor	19	6	1	12	20	31	19
16	Mashal Mubarek	19	1	1	17	8	34	4

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sogdiana Jizzakh	Mashal Mubarek
Qizilqum Zarafshon	2-1 W	0-2 L
FK Andijan	1-0 W	0-1 L
Xorazm Urganch	2-0 W	0-2 L
FK Buxoro	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Sogdiana Jizzakh (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sogdiana Jizzakh

WLWLLWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
18/08	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
13/08	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	3-1	1	3	W
06/08	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
02/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
27/07	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
21/07	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	1-5	5	5	L
16/07	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-0	2	0	W
02/05	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
28/04	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	2-0	5-2	6	3	W

Mashal Mubarek

LLWDLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/08	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
19/08	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	3	L
14/08	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	0-2	4	4	L
07/08	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	3	1	L
02/08	Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-3	3	1	L
27/07	AGMK Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
22/07	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	1-1	2	2	D
17/07	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
02/05	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	1-3	0	4	L
27/04	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	3	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Mashal Mubarek?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sogdiana Jizzakh win (68%). Probabilities: Sogdiana Jizzakh 68%, draw 20%, Mashal Mubarek 12%.

How many goals are expected in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Mashal Mubarek?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Sogdiana Jizzakh 2.22 · Mashal Mubarek 0.82), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs Mashal Mubarek?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.