Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 11/09, 16:00
Prediction: FK Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan
Team pages: FK Buxoro · Navbahor Namangan
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
FK Buxoro1.59
Navbahor Namangan1.22
1X2
FK Buxoro
Draw
Navbahor Namangan
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Buxoro
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Navbahor Namangan
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Buxoro
2–4
Navbahor Namangan
(6 last)
- Navbahor Namangan0-1FK Buxoro
- FK Buxoro5-0Navbahor Namangan
- Navbahor Namangan3-0FK Buxoro
- Navbahor Namangan1-0FK Buxoro
- FK Buxoro0-3Navbahor Namangan
- Navbahor Namangan1-0FK Buxoro
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Navbahor Namangan: 4-0-2.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Buxoro | Navbahor Namangan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 80/20/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.9 | 3.5 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.3 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Buxoro 2–0–4 Navbahor Namangan
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/26 Uzbekistan PFL | Navbahor Namangan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | FK Buxoro |
| 20/09/25 Uzbekistan PFL | FK Buxoro | 5-0 HT 5-0 | Navbahor Namangan |
| 27/04/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Navbahor Namangan | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Buxoro |
| 05/07/24 Uzbekistan Cup | Navbahor Namangan | 1-0 HT 1-0 | FK Buxoro |
| 08/10/23 Uzbekistan PFL | FK Buxoro | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Navbahor Namangan |
| 01/07/23 Uzbekistan PFL | Navbahor Namangan | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Buxoro |
Standings · Uzbekistan PFL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fergana | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 37 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 32 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | FK Buxoro | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 34 |
| 5 | AGMK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 32 |
| 6 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 32 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Andijan | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 27 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 31 | 27 |
| 10 | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 41 | 27 |
| 11 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | 20 | 28 | 26 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 13 | FK Kokand 1912 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 20 |
| 14 | Xorazm Urganch | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 20 |
| 15 | FC Bunyodkor | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 35 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Mubarek | 20 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | 39 | 4 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Buxoro | Navbahor Namangan |
|---|---|---|
| Qizilqum Zarafshon | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Neftchi Fergana | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| AGMK | 2-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| FC Bunyodkor | 1-0 W | 4-3 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Buxoro (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Buxoro
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 18/08 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 13/08 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/08 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
2-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 27/07 | FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 21/07 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/07 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Navbahor Namangan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 26/08 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 21/08 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/08 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 07/08 | Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 02/08 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
3-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 9 | D |
| 23/07 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | D |
| 17/07 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Buxoro win (45%). Probabilities: FK Buxoro 45%, draw 27%, Navbahor Namangan 28%.
How many goals are expected in FK Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan?
The model expects 2.81 goals (FK Buxoro 1.59 · Navbahor Namangan 1.22), with a 57% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Buxoro vs Navbahor Namangan?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.