Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 20/09, 16:00

Prediction: Sogdiana Jizzakh vs AGMK

Team pages: Sogdiana Jizzakh · AGMK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.39Total

Sogdiana Jizzakh2

AGMK1.4

1X2

51% 24% 26%

Sogdiana Jizzakh Draw AGMK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Sogdiana Jizzakh 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLWWWWLWD

AGMK 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLWLLDWL

Head-to-head

Sogdiana Jizzakh 1–2–3 AGMK (6 last)

AGMK2-2Sogdiana Jizzakh
Sogdiana Jizzakh4-1AGMK
AGMK3-2Sogdiana Jizzakh
Sogdiana Jizzakh1-1AGMK
AGMK5-3Sogdiana Jizzakh
AGMK3-2Sogdiana Jizzakh

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours AGMK: 3-2-1.
High corners: 11.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sogdiana Jizzakh	AGMK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	1.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.1	3.4 / 7.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.84

Under 2.751.96

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:55

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.67 → 2.67	Pinn 2.67
X	3.57 → 3.57	Pinn 3.57
2	2.36 → 2.36	Pinn 2.36

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
16:20 +275’	2.67	3.57	2.36

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sogdiana Jizzakh 1–2–3 AGMK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/03/26 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	2-2 HT 0-1	Sogdiana Jizzakh
12/09/25 Uzbekistan PFL	Sogdiana Jizzakh	4-1 HT 2-0	AGMK
20/04/25 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	3-2 HT 0-0	Sogdiana Jizzakh
21/10/24 Uzbekistan PFL	Sogdiana Jizzakh	1-1 HT 0-1	AGMK
19/05/24 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	5-3 HT 2-2	Sogdiana Jizzakh
07/10/23 Uzbekistan PFL	AGMK	3-2 HT 1-1	Sogdiana Jizzakh

Standings · Uzbekistan PFL

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Neftchi Fergana	21	15	3	3	49	17	48
2	Pakhtakor Tashkent	21	13	7	1	37	19	46
3	Navbahor Namangan	22	13	5	4	39	21	44
4	Lokomotiv Tashkent	21	10	5	6	36	27	35
5	FK Buxoro	21	10	4	7	31	27	34
6	AGMK	21	9	5	7	29	28	32
7	Nasaf Qarshi	21	8	7	6	29	20	31
8	FK Andijan	21	9	3	9	26	24	30
9	Dinamo Samarqand	22	8	6	8	33	34	30
10	Sogdiana Jizzakh	21	8	4	9	37	41	28
11	Qizilqum Zarafshon	21	8	2	11	20	29	26
12	Termez Surkhon	21	6	5	10	18	28	23
13	Xorazm Urganch	21	5	6	10	17	29	21
14	FK Kokand 1912	21	4	8	9	19	29	20
15	FC Bunyodkor	21	6	1	14	20	35	19
16	Mashal Mubarek	21	1	1	19	10	42	4

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sogdiana Jizzakh	AGMK
Xorazm Urganch	0-0 D	1-0 W
Mashal Mubarek	5-2 W	2-1 W
Termez Surkhon	3-1 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sogdiana Jizzakh (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sogdiana Jizzakh

WLLWWWWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/09	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
05/09	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	3-1	5-2	3	1	W
23/08	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-3	7	4	L
18/08	Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-1	3	3	W
13/08	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	3-1	1	3	W
06/08	FK Andijan Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
02/08	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	3-1	7	1	W
27/07	Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	1-3	5	4	L
21/07	Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL	1-3	1-5	5	5	L
16/07	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	2-0	2	0	W

AGMK

WWWLWLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/09	Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL	0-2	1-3	10	3	L
03/09	Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL	1-0	1-0	8	2	W
25/08	Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
19/08	Dinamo Samarqand Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
13/08	FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
08/08	FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL	3-1	3-2	7	1	W
03/08	Nasaf Qarshi Uzbekistan PFL	0-1	1-2	9	1	L
27/07	Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL	1-1	2-1	13	3	W
22/07	FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL	0-0	4-1	5	3	W
17/07	Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL	1-2	3-2	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs AGMK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sogdiana Jizzakh win (51%). Probabilities: Sogdiana Jizzakh 51%, draw 24%, AGMK 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs AGMK?

The model expects 3.39 goals (Sogdiana Jizzakh 2 · AGMK 1.4), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sogdiana Jizzakh vs AGMK?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.