Football · Uzbekistan PFL · 20/09, 14:15
Prediction: FK Andijan vs Nasaf Qarshi
Team pages: FK Andijan · Nasaf Qarshi
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.23Total
FK Andijan1.16
Nasaf Qarshi1.06
1X2
FK Andijan
Draw
Nasaf Qarshi
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Andijan
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Nasaf Qarshi
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FK Andijan
0–3–3
Nasaf Qarshi
(6 last)
- FK Andijan1-1Nasaf Qarshi
- Nasaf Qarshi1-0FK Andijan
- Nasaf Qarshi1-1FK Andijan
- Nasaf Qarshi1-0FK Andijan
- FK Andijan1-1Nasaf Qarshi
- Nasaf Qarshi3-0FK Andijan
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nasaf Qarshi (rating 1488 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Nasaf Qarshi: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Andijan | Nasaf Qarshi | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.7 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 5.4 | 2.3 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.5 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Andijan 0–3–3 Nasaf Qarshi
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 Uzbekistan Cup | FK Andijan | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Nasaf Qarshi |
| 03/04/26 Uzbekistan PFL | Nasaf Qarshi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Andijan |
| 07/08/25 Uzbekistan PFL | Nasaf Qarshi | 1-1 HT 0-1 | FK Andijan |
| 27/05/25 Uzbekistan Super Cup | Nasaf Qarshi | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Andijan |
| 15/03/25 Uzbekistan PFL | FK Andijan | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Nasaf Qarshi |
| 25/08/24 Uzbekistan PFL | Nasaf Qarshi | 3-0 HT 2-0 | FK Andijan |
Standings · Uzbekistan PFL
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Fergana | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 49 | 17 | 48 |
| 2 | Pakhtakor Tashkent | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 37 | 19 | 46 |
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39 | 21 | 44 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 27 | 35 |
| 5 | FK Buxoro | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 6 | AGMK | 21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 32 |
| 7 | Nasaf Qarshi | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 20 | 31 |
| 8 | FK Andijan | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 26 | 24 | 30 |
| 9 | Dinamo Samarqand | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 34 | 30 |
| 10 | Sogdiana Jizzakh | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 37 | 41 | 28 |
| 11 | Qizilqum Zarafshon | 21 | 8 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 26 |
| 12 | Termez Surkhon | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 28 | 23 |
| 13 | Xorazm Urganch | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 29 | 21 |
| 14 | FK Kokand 1912 | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 29 | 20 |
| 15 | FC Bunyodkor | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 20 | 35 | 19 |
| 16 | Mashal Mubarek | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 42 | 4 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Andijan | Nasaf Qarshi |
|---|---|---|
| FK Kokand 1912 | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| Mashal Mubarek | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Neftchi Fergana | 0-3 L | 6-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Andijan
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 4 | W |
| 04/09 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 25/08 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 19/08 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 13/08 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 06/08 | Sogdiana Jizzakh Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 27/07 | FK Buxoro Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/07 | Lokomotiv Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 18/07 | Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
Nasaf Qarshi
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 04/09 | Neftchi Fergana Uzbekistan PFL |
4-0 | 6-2 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 26/08 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 21/08 | Navbahor Namangan Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Pakhtakor Tashkent Uzbekistan PFL |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 08/08 | FK Kokand 1912 Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | AGMK Uzbekistan PFL |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 28/07 | Qizilqum Zarafshon Uzbekistan PFL |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 22/07 | Mashal Mubarek Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 16/07 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan PFL |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Andijan vs Nasaf Qarshi?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Andijan win (37%). Probabilities: FK Andijan 37%, draw 32%, Nasaf Qarshi 32%.
How many goals are expected in FK Andijan vs Nasaf Qarshi?
The model expects 2.23 goals (FK Andijan 1.16 · Nasaf Qarshi 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Andijan vs Nasaf Qarshi?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.