Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 31/08, 19:00

Prediction: Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs BK

Team pages: Hammarby TFF · Karlbergs BK

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Hammarby TFF2.04
Karlbergs BK0.86
1X2
64% 21% 15%
Hammarby TFF Draw Karlbergs BK
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Hammarby TFF 5-3-2 (W-D-L)
WLWWDWWDLD
Karlbergs BK 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LDLLWWWLWL
Head-to-head
Hammarby TFF 1–3–2 Karlbergs BK (6 last)
  • Karlbergs BK0-2Hammarby TFF
  • Hammarby TFF0-3Karlbergs BK
  • Hammarby TFF1-1Karlbergs BK
  • Karlbergs BK1-1Hammarby TFF
  • Hammarby TFF0-1Karlbergs BK
  • Karlbergs BK2-2Hammarby TFF
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hammarby TFF 1534 · Karlbergs BK 1540
Hammarby TFFDrawKarlbergs BK
Our model64%22%14%
Market65%20%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Karlbergs BK: 2-3-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Hammarby TFFKarlbergs BK
Goals for / against (FT)2.3 / 0.71.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.51 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.1 / 5.42 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.3 / 0.23.3 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hammarby TFF 132 Karlbergs BK

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DateHomeScoreAway
14/06/26
Sweden 1.div Norra
Karlbergs BK0-2
HT 0-0
Hammarby TFF
22/03/26
Club Friendly List
Hammarby TFF0-3
HT 0-2
Karlbergs BK
20/10/25
Sweden 1.div Norra
Hammarby TFF1-1
HT 1-0
Karlbergs BK
23/05/25
Sweden 1.div Norra
Karlbergs BK1-1
HT 1-1
Hammarby TFF
11/08/24
Sweden 1.div Norra
Hammarby TFF0-1
HT 0-1
Karlbergs BK
21/04/24
Sweden 1.div Norra
Karlbergs BK2-2
HT 1-0
Hammarby TFF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Hammarby TFF 181143 451537
2 FC Stockholm Internazionale 181134 381736
3 IF Karlstad Fotboll 181134 291536
4 FC Arlanda 18963 302033
5 AFC Eskilstuna 18945 312531
6 Enkopings SK 18927 272829
7 FBK Karlstad 18846 272828
8 Karlbergs BK 18738 282824
9 Assyriska Föreningen 18657 303123
10 Vasalunds IF 18657 283523
11 Gefle IF 18729 233523
12 Sollentuna United FF 18486 172520
13 Umeå FC 18459 213017
14 FC Järfälla 184311 233915
15 Piteå IF 182610 183612
16 IFK Stocksund 182511 364411

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentHammarby TFFKarlbergs BK
Piteå IF 1-1 D 3-1 W
AFC Eskilstuna 0-1 L 0-3 L
FBK Karlstad 1-1 D 1-1 D
Enkopings SK 1-0 W 1-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 1 L 1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Hammarby TFF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hammarby TFF

WLWWDWWDLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 Piteå IF
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-1 1-1 71 D
14/08 AFC Eskilstuna
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 0-1 60 L
09/08 FBK Karlstad
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-1 1-1 42 D
03/08 FC Arlanda
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-0 5-1 35 W
26/06 FBK Karlstad
Sweden 1.div Norra
2-0 7-0 81 W
18/06 FC Järfälla
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-1 1-1 21 D
14/06 Karlbergs BK
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 2-0 52 W
06/06 Gefle IF
Sweden 1.div Norra
2-0 4-0 53 W
30/05 AFC Eskilstuna
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-2 1-2 63 L
23/05 Enkopings SK
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-0 1-0 87 W

Karlbergs BK

LDLLWWWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
23/08 AFC Eskilstuna
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-1 0-3 35 L
15/08 IFK Stocksund
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-0 2-0 34 W
07/08 Enkopings SK
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-1 1-2 61 L
01/08 IFK Stocksund
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-0 2-0 16 W
24/06 Piteå IF
Sweden 1.div Norra
2-0 3-1 64 W
18/06 Vasalunds IF
Sweden 1.div Norra
3-0 4-0 35 W
14/06 Hammarby TFF
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 0-2 32 L
04/06 AFC Eskilstuna
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-0 2-3 24 L
31/05 FBK Karlstad
Sweden 1.div Norra
0-0 1-1 42 D
23/05 FC Stockholm Internazionale
Sweden 1.div Norra
1-1 1-2 31 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hammarby TFF win (64%). Probabilities: Hammarby TFF 64%, draw 21%, Karlbergs BK 15%.

How many goals are expected in Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs BK?

The model expects 2.9 goals (Hammarby TFF 2.04 · Karlbergs BK 0.86), with a 54% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Hammarby TFF vs Karlbergs BK?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.