Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: FC Järfälla vs Assyriska Föreningen

Team pages: FC Järfälla · Assyriska Föreningen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.7Total

FC Järfälla1.74

Assyriska Föreningen1.95

1X2

34% 24% 42%

FC Järfälla Draw Assyriska Föreningen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Järfälla 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

WLLLDWLLLL

Assyriska Föreningen 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLDWWWWL

Head-to-head

FC Järfälla 0–2–0 Assyriska Föreningen (2 last)

Assyriska Föreningen3-3FC Järfälla
Assyriska Föreningen1-1FC Järfälla

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Järfälla 1423 · Assyriska Föreningen 1526

	FC Järfälla	Draw	Assyriska Föreningen
Our model	34%	23%	43%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 3.7 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Assyriska Föreningen (rating 1423 vs 1526).
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Järfälla	Assyriska Föreningen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.6	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.2	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/60/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 4	2.4 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:18

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:08 +11’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Järfälla 0–2–0 Assyriska Föreningen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Assyriska Föreningen	3-3 HT 0-2	FC Järfälla
23/03/24 Club Friendly List	Assyriska Föreningen	1-1 HT 0-1	FC Järfälla

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Hammarby TFF	18	11	4	3	45	15	37
2	FC Stockholm Internazionale	18	11	3	4	38	17	36
3	IF Karlstad Fotboll	18	11	3	4	29	15	36
4	FC Arlanda	18	9	6	3	30	20	33
5	AFC Eskilstuna	18	9	4	5	31	25	31
6	Enkopings SK	18	9	2	7	27	28	29
7	FBK Karlstad	18	8	4	6	27	28	28
8	Karlbergs BK	18	7	3	8	28	28	24
9	Assyriska Föreningen	18	6	5	7	30	31	23
10	Vasalunds IF	18	6	5	7	28	35	23
11	Gefle IF	18	7	2	9	23	35	23
12	Sollentuna United FF	18	4	8	6	17	25	20
13	Umeå FC	18	4	5	9	21	30	17
14	FC Järfälla	18	4	3	11	23	39	15
15	Piteå IF	18	2	6	10	18	36	12
16	IFK Stocksund	18	2	5	11	36	44	11

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Järfälla	Assyriska Föreningen
Sollentuna United FF	1-2 L	3-0 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-4 L	2-0 W
FC Arlanda	2-3 L	0-2 L
IFK Stocksund	1-6 L	3-3 D
Vasalunds IF	1-3 L	3-1 W
Gefle IF	4-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Assyriska Föreningen (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Järfälla

WLLLDWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
15/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	6	2	L
01/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L
28/06	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	8	4	W
18/06	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	2	1	D
13/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	4	4	L
08/06	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	1-6	1	7	L
03/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	3	2	L
23/05	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	4-0	7	4	W

Assyriska Föreningen

DWLLDWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	3	4	L
15/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	5	4	W
09/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
01/08	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/06	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
21/06	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-2	6	3	D
14/06	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	11	4	L
07/06	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
02/06	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	3-0	4-2	3	4	W
23/05	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-3	6	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Järfälla vs Assyriska Föreningen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Assyriska Föreningen win (42%). Probabilities: FC Järfälla 34%, draw 24%, Assyriska Föreningen 42%.

How many goals are expected in FC Järfälla vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model expects 3.7 goals (FC Järfälla 1.74 · Assyriska Föreningen 1.95), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Järfälla vs Assyriska Föreningen?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.