Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: IFK Stocksund vs FC Järfälla

Team pages: IFK Stocksund · FC Järfälla

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.21Total

IFK Stocksund2.39

FC Järfälla1.83

1X2

49% 22% 29%

IFK Stocksund Draw FC Järfälla

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 63%

Most likely score

2-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

IFK Stocksund 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LWLLLLWLLL

FC Järfälla 1-0-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLWLL

Head-to-head

IFK Stocksund 5–1 FC Järfälla (6 last)

FC Järfälla1-6IFK Stocksund
FC Järfälla1-3IFK Stocksund
FC Järfälla1-6IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund2-1FC Järfälla
IFK Stocksund2-3FC Järfälla
FC Järfälla2-7IFK Stocksund

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IFK Stocksund 1445 · FC Järfälla 1391

	IFK Stocksund	Draw	FC Järfälla
Our model	50%	21%	29%
Market	49%	23%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 4.21 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours IFK Stocksund (rating 1445 vs 1391).
H2H favours IFK Stocksund: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IFK Stocksund	FC Järfälla
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.4	1.1 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.5	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/20/70%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5	1.3 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.3	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.90

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
19:24 +9’	1.83	3.90	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · IFK Stocksund 5–0–1 FC Järfälla

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Järfälla	1-6 HT 1-3	IFK Stocksund
29/06/22 Sweden Cup Qualification	FC Järfälla	1-3 HT 0-2	IFK Stocksund
22/06/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Järfälla	1-6 HT 1-2	IFK Stocksund
09/04/22 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Stocksund	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Järfälla
08/09/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	IFK Stocksund	2-3 HT 1-3	FC Järfälla
04/08/21 Sweden 2.div Norra Svealand	FC Järfälla	2-7 HT 0-2	IFK Stocksund

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	24	17	3	4	57	20	54
2	AFC Eskilstuna	24	14	4	6	45	32	46
3	Hammarby TFF	24	13	6	5	50	23	45
4	FC Arlanda	24	13	6	5	42	27	45
5	FBK Karlstad	24	12	6	6	39	33	42
6	IF Karlstad Fotboll	24	11	7	6	36	24	40
7	Enkopings SK	24	12	3	9	37	40	39
8	Assyriska Föreningen	24	9	5	10	43	42	32
9	Gefle IF	24	9	3	12	29	42	30
10	Umeå FC	24	8	5	11	32	40	29
11	Karlbergs BK	24	8	5	11	30	39	29
12	Vasalunds IF	24	7	6	11	35	48	27
13	Sollentuna United FF	24	5	9	10	22	33	24
14	Piteå IF	24	5	6	13	29	45	21
15	FC Järfälla	24	5	3	16	32	54	18
16	IFK Stocksund	24	3	5	16	44	60	14

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IFK Stocksund	FC Järfälla
FC Stockholm Internazionale	2-5 L	0-2 L
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 W	1-4 L
Assyriska Föreningen	1-2 L	0-2 L
Karlbergs BK	0-2 L	5-0 W
Gefle IF	5-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: IFK Stocksund (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IFK Stocksund

LWLLLLWLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
20/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	8	1	L
17/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-5	2-5	5	2	L
12/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
04/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
29/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
23/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	5	2	L
15/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
08/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-0	6	3	W
01/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-2	4	6	L

FC Järfälla

LLLLLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-4	5	5	L
20/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-3	6	7	L
17/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	5-0	7	3	W
12/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-3	4	3	L
05/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-3	6	0	L
29/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-2	2	3	L
21/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	2	3	L
15/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
08/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	6	2	L
01/08	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	0-4	2	1	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IFK Stocksund vs FC Järfälla?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IFK Stocksund win (49%). Probabilities: IFK Stocksund 49%, draw 22%, FC Järfälla 29%.

How many goals are expected in IFK Stocksund vs FC Järfälla?

The model expects 4.21 goals (IFK Stocksund 2.39 · FC Järfälla 1.83), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IFK Stocksund vs FC Järfälla?

The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.