Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 03/10, 15:00

Prediction: FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna

Team pages: FBK Karlstad · AFC Eskilstuna

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

FBK Karlstad1.45

AFC Eskilstuna1.52

1X2

36% 26% 39%

FBK Karlstad Draw AFC Eskilstuna

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FBK Karlstad 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWLWWWDDW

AFC Eskilstuna 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWLW

Head-to-head

FBK Karlstad 2–1–1 AFC Eskilstuna (4 last)

AFC Eskilstuna0-2FBK Karlstad
AFC Eskilstuna6-3FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad3-0AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna2-2FBK Karlstad

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FBK Karlstad 1552 · AFC Eskilstuna 1582

	FBK Karlstad	Draw	AFC Eskilstuna
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	36%	25%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours FBK Karlstad: 2-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FBK Karlstad	AFC Eskilstuna
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.3	2.2 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.9	2.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.60

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
20:28 +8’	2.50	3.60	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FBK Karlstad 2–1–1 AFC Eskilstuna

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	0-2 HT 0-1	FBK Karlstad
15/03/25 Club Friendly List	AFC Eskilstuna	6-3	FBK Karlstad
10/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FBK Karlstad	3-0 HT 2-0	AFC Eskilstuna
15/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	2-2 HT 1-1	FBK Karlstad

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	24	17	3	4	57	20	54
2	AFC Eskilstuna	24	14	4	6	45	32	46
3	Hammarby TFF	24	13	6	5	50	23	45
4	FC Arlanda	24	13	6	5	42	27	45
5	FBK Karlstad	24	12	6	6	39	33	42
6	IF Karlstad Fotboll	24	11	7	6	36	24	40
7	Enkopings SK	24	12	3	9	37	40	39
8	Assyriska Föreningen	24	9	5	10	43	42	32
9	Gefle IF	24	9	3	12	29	42	30
10	Umeå FC	24	8	5	11	32	40	29
11	Karlbergs BK	24	8	5	11	30	39	29
12	Vasalunds IF	24	7	6	11	35	48	27
13	Sollentuna United FF	24	5	9	10	22	33	24
14	Piteå IF	24	5	6	13	29	45	21
15	FC Järfälla	24	5	3	16	32	54	18
16	IFK Stocksund	24	3	5	16	44	60	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FBK Karlstad	AFC Eskilstuna
Umeå FC	3-1 W	3-1 W
Sollentuna United FF	0-0 D	2-1 W
IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-0 D	2-1 W
FC Järfälla	3-0 W	4-2 W
Piteå IF	4-3 W	1-0 W
Hammarby TFF	1-1 D	1-0 W
Assyriska Föreningen	0-2 L	5-2 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FBK Karlstad

LDWLWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	0	1	W
19/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	2	D
16/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
12/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	6	1	W
05/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	3-0	8	0	W
30/08	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	1	0	W
23/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-5	1-5	4	3	L
16/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	7	4	W
09/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	7	2	D
01/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	6	6	L

AFC Eskilstuna

WWWWWWWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	4-2	8	5	W
20/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
17/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	5-2	3	4	W
13/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
05/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
23/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	3	5	W
14/08	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
09/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	6	3	W
02/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	7	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?

According to our model, the most likely result is an AFC Eskilstuna win (39%). Probabilities: FBK Karlstad 36%, draw 26%, AFC Eskilstuna 39%.

How many goals are expected in FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model expects 2.97 goals (FBK Karlstad 1.45 · AFC Eskilstuna 1.52), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FBK Karlstad vs AFC Eskilstuna?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.