Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 17/10, 16:00

Prediction: FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle IF

Team pages: FC Stockholm Internazionale · Gefle IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

FC Stockholm Internazionale2.29

Gefle IF0.65

1X2

74% 18% 8%

FC Stockholm Internazionale Draw Gefle IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

2-0 14%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Stockholm Internazionale 10-0-0 (W-D-L)

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Gefle IF 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

FC Stockholm Internazionale 4–1 Gefle IF (5 last)

Gefle IF0-2FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale2-0Gefle IF
Gefle IF0-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
Gefle IF4-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale1-0Gefle IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1635 · Gefle IF 1470

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Draw	Gefle IF
Our model	74%	18%	8%
Market	74%	18%	8%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Stockholm Internazionale (rating 1635 vs 1470).
H2H favours FC Stockholm Internazionale: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Gefle IF
Goals for / against (FT)	3.1 / 0.5	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.2	0.5 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0	4.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.22

X5.00

211.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.90

2 (+1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:55

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.22▼	Bet365 1.22
X	4.75 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00
2	7.50 → 11.00▲	Bet365 11.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.9%

Time*	1	X	2
19:25 +12’	1.30	4.75	7.50
22:44 +12’	1.22▼	5.00▲	11.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Stockholm Internazionale 4–0–1 Gefle IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/06/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	0-2 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
18/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	2-0 HT 2-0	Gefle IF
29/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale
10/08/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	Gefle IF	4-1 HT 3-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
20/05/22 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	1-0 HT 1-0	Gefle IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	26	19	3	4	63	21	60
2	FC Arlanda	26	14	6	6	46	31	48
3	AFC Eskilstuna	26	14	5	7	48	37	47
4	Hammarby TFF	26	13	6	7	51	26	45
5	Enkopings SK	26	14	3	9	39	40	45
6	IF Karlstad Fotboll	26	12	8	6	40	25	44
7	FBK Karlstad	26	12	7	7	41	36	43
8	Assyriska Föreningen	26	10	5	11	44	45	35
9	Umeå FC	26	10	5	11	36	42	35
10	Karlbergs BK	26	9	6	11	36	44	33
11	Gefle IF	26	9	4	13	32	46	31
12	Vasalunds IF	26	7	7	12	39	55	28
13	Sollentuna United FF	26	6	9	11	27	36	27
14	Piteå IF	26	5	8	13	33	49	23
15	FC Järfälla	26	5	4	17	34	57	19
16	IFK Stocksund	26	3	6	17	45	64	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Stockholm Internazionale	Gefle IF
AFC Eskilstuna	3-1 W	1-0 W
Assyriska Föreningen	3-0 W	2-1 W
Sollentuna United FF	2-1 W	0-1 L
Umeå FC	4-0 W	2-0 W
Enkopings SK	3-0 W	0-1 L
FC Järfälla	2-0 W	3-1 W
FC Arlanda	4-1 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	7 W 0 D 0 L	4 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FC Stockholm Internazionale (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Stockholm Internazionale

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
03/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
26/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	8	0	W
17/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	5-0	5-2	6	2	W
13/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	4	4	W
05/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
21/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	3	W
16/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	4-1	5	1	W

Gefle IF

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-3	2	4	D
03/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
27/09	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-1	9	2	L
20/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	1	4	W
16/09	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-2	7	7	L
12/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-1	8	3	W
05/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	2	5	L
29/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-2	5	5	D
23/08	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	3	4	W
15/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Stockholm Internazionale win (74%). Probabilities: FC Stockholm Internazionale 74%, draw 18%, Gefle IF 8%.

How many goals are expected in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle IF?

The model expects 2.94 goals (FC Stockholm Internazionale 2.29 · Gefle IF 0.65), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Stockholm Internazionale vs Gefle IF?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.