Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 25/10, 16:00

Prediction: AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Stocksund

Team pages: AFC Eskilstuna · IFK Stocksund

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.35Total

AFC Eskilstuna3.17

IFK Stocksund1.17

1X2

79% 13% 8%

AFC Eskilstuna Draw IFK Stocksund

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

AFC Eskilstuna 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWLWDLW

IFK Stocksund 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLWLLLDLL

Head-to-head

AFC Eskilstuna 3–1–1 IFK Stocksund (5 last)

IFK Stocksund4-4AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna3-4IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund1-2AFC Eskilstuna
AFC Eskilstuna5-4IFK Stocksund
IFK Stocksund2-3AFC Eskilstuna

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · AFC Eskilstuna 1562 · IFK Stocksund 1411

	AFC Eskilstuna	Draw	IFK Stocksund
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	82%	12%	6%

Estimated total (ours) 4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 81%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours AFC Eskilstuna (rating 1562 vs 1411).
H2H favours AFC Eskilstuna: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	AFC Eskilstuna	IFK Stocksund
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.2	1.3 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.3 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	1.8 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.13

X8.00

215.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-2.5)1.95

2 (+2.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 41.93

Under 41.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.8

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 21:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.18 → 1.13▼	Bet365 1.13
X	6.50 → 8.00▲	Pinn 8.87 ★
2	9.00 → 15.00▲	Bet365 15.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 8.1% Pinnacle margin 9%

Time*	1	X	2
18:30 +9’	1.18	6.50	9.00
21:54 +2’	1.13▼	8.00▲	15.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:22 +16’	1.16	7.89	9.49
20:42 +74’	1.13▼	8.87▲	11.37▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · AFC Eskilstuna 3–1–1 IFK Stocksund

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	4-4 HT 4-0	AFC Eskilstuna
11/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	3-4 HT 2-3	IFK Stocksund
29/03/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	1-2 HT 1-2	AFC Eskilstuna
03/11/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	AFC Eskilstuna	5-4 HT 3-1	IFK Stocksund
26/05/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IFK Stocksund	2-3 HT 1-1	AFC Eskilstuna

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	28	20	4	4	68	23	64
2	AFC Eskilstuna	27	15	5	7	52	37	50
3	Hammarby TFF	28	14	7	7	55	29	49
4	FC Arlanda	27	14	6	7	47	34	48
5	Enkopings SK	27	15	3	9	42	41	48
6	FBK Karlstad	28	13	7	8	44	38	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	28	12	8	8	42	31	44
8	Umeå FC	27	11	5	11	39	43	38
9	Assyriska Föreningen	27	10	5	12	45	48	35
10	Gefle IF	28	10	5	13	34	47	35
11	Karlbergs BK	27	9	6	12	37	47	33
12	Sollentuna United FF	28	7	10	11	30	37	31
13	Vasalunds IF	28	7	7	14	39	61	28
14	Piteå IF	27	5	9	13	34	50	24
15	FC Järfälla	28	6	5	17	39	60	23
16	IFK Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46	67	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	AFC Eskilstuna	IFK Stocksund
Vasalunds IF	4-0 W	3-4 L
FC Stockholm Internazionale	1-3 L	2-5 L
FC Järfälla	4-2 W	1-1 D
Assyriska Föreningen	5-2 W	1-2 L
IF Karlstad Fotboll	2-1 W	2-1 W
Sollentuna United FF	2-1 W	0-3 L
Record vs common	5 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: AFC Eskilstuna (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

AFC Eskilstuna

WWWWWLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	4-0	2	2	W
10/10	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-3	4	2	L
03/10	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-2	5	2	D
26/09	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	4-2	8	5	W
20/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	8	4	L
17/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	5-2	3	4	W
13/09	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	5	0	W
05/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
29/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	2-1	3	2	W
23/08	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	3	5	W

IFK Stocksund

LLLWLLLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-3	4	3	L
09/10	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-3	2	1	L
03/10	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	3	2	D
25/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
20/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-3	8	1	L
17/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-5	2-5	5	2	L
12/09	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-1	2	7	W
04/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-2	2	4	L
29/08	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	2-3	8	6	L
23/08	Vasalunds IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	3-4	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Stocksund?

According to our model, the most likely result is a AFC Eskilstuna win (79%). Probabilities: AFC Eskilstuna 79%, draw 13%, IFK Stocksund 8%.

How many goals are expected in AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Stocksund?

The model expects 4.35 goals (AFC Eskilstuna 3.17 · IFK Stocksund 1.17), with a 51% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in AFC Eskilstuna vs IFK Stocksund?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.