Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: Sollentuna United FF vs Vasalunds IF

Team pages: Sollentuna United FF · Vasalunds IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.19Total

Sollentuna United FF1.65

Vasalunds IF1.54

1X2

40% 25% 35%

Sollentuna United FF Draw Vasalunds IF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Sollentuna United FF 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDLLWD

Vasalunds IF 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLLDLWLDL

Head-to-head

Sollentuna United FF 1–2–3 Vasalunds IF (6 last)

Vasalunds IF1-1Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF3-2Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF4-1Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF1-1Vasalunds IF
Vasalunds IF5-2Sollentuna United FF
Sollentuna United FF0-1Vasalunds IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sollentuna United FF 1478 · Vasalunds IF 1437

	Sollentuna United FF	Draw	Vasalunds IF
Our model	40%	26%	35%
Market	40%	25%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.19 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sollentuna United FF (rating 1478 vs 1437).
H2H favours Vasalunds IF: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sollentuna United FF	Vasalunds IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.3	1.5 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.8	0.5 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	10/60/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.2	2.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.50

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.98

2 (+0.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.38 → 2.25▼	Bet365 2.25
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.87 ★
2	2.45 → 2.55▲	Pinn 2.61

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
19:16 +15’	2.38	3.50	2.45
22:39 +4’	2.25▼	3.50	2.55▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:25 +17’	2.22	3.87	2.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3

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Both teams to score

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We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Sollentuna United FF 1–2–3 Vasalunds IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/08/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	1-1 HT 1-1	Sollentuna United FF
15/08/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	3-2 HT 0-1	Vasalunds IF
28/05/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	4-1 HT 1-1	Sollentuna United FF
07/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Sollentuna United FF	1-1 HT 1-0	Vasalunds IF
19/10/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Vasalunds IF	5-2 HT 3-0	Sollentuna United FF
09/06/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	Sollentuna United FF	0-1 HT 0-1	Vasalunds IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	64	22	61
2	AFC Eskilstuna	27	15	5	7	52	37	50
3	Hammarby TFF	27	14	6	7	53	27	48
4	FC Arlanda	27	14	6	7	47	34	48
5	Enkopings SK	27	15	3	9	42	41	48
6	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	44	37	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	27	12	8	7	41	27	44
8	Umeå FC	27	11	5	11	39	43	38
9	Assyriska Föreningen	27	10	5	12	45	48	35
10	Karlbergs BK	27	9	6	12	37	47	33
11	Gefle IF	27	9	5	13	33	47	32
12	Sollentuna United FF	27	6	10	11	28	37	28
13	Vasalunds IF	27	7	7	13	39	59	28
14	Piteå IF	27	5	9	13	34	50	24
15	FC Järfälla	27	6	4	17	37	58	22
16	IFK Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46	67	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sollentuna United FF	Vasalunds IF
IFK Stocksund	3-0 W	4-3 W
Karlbergs BK	2-3 L	3-3 D
FBK Karlstad	0-0 D	1-2 L
Enkopings SK	2-3 L	2-3 L
Hammarby TFF	0-1 L	0-0 D
Gefle IF	1-0 W	1-0 W
AFC Eskilstuna	1-2 L	0-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Sollentuna United FF (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sollentuna United FF

WLWLLDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-1	4	4	D
09/10	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	9	1	W
02/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	2-2	2-3	6	7	L
26/09	FC Stockholm Internazionale Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-2	1	4	L
19/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
16/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-3	2-3	6	1	L
12/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	0-1	0	4	L
05/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-0	4	5	W
29/08	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
22/08	IF Karlstad Fotboll Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	2-1	5	3	W

Vasalunds IF

WLLLDLWLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-4	5	2	L
10/10	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	3-3	4	5	D
04/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	0-2	1-4	2	4	L
27/09	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-0	3	2	W
21/09	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-5	2	4	L
17/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
12/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	1	1	L
06/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	2-3	3	0	L
30/08	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	1-2	2-3	10	4	L
23/08	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	4-3	6	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sollentuna United FF vs Vasalunds IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sollentuna United FF win (40%). Probabilities: Sollentuna United FF 40%, draw 25%, Vasalunds IF 35%.

How many goals are expected in Sollentuna United FF vs Vasalunds IF?

The model expects 3.19 goals (Sollentuna United FF 1.65 · Vasalunds IF 1.54), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Sollentuna United FF vs Vasalunds IF?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.