Football · Sweden 1.div Norra · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FC Stockholm Internazionale

Team pages: IF Karlstad Fotboll · FC Stockholm Internazionale

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

IF Karlstad Fotboll1.37

FC Stockholm Internazionale1.36

1X2

37% 27% 36%

IF Karlstad Fotboll Draw FC Stockholm Internazionale

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

IF Karlstad Fotboll 1-5-4 (W-D-L)

LDLLDDDDWL

FC Stockholm Internazionale 9-1-0 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWD

Head-to-head

IF Karlstad Fotboll 2–4 FC Stockholm Internazionale (6 last)

FC Stockholm Internazionale0-1IF Karlstad Fotboll
FC Stockholm Internazionale0-1IF Karlstad Fotboll
IF Karlstad Fotboll0-1FC Stockholm Internazionale
FC Stockholm Internazionale1-0IF Karlstad Fotboll
IF Karlstad Fotboll1-4FC Stockholm Internazionale
IF Karlstad Fotboll0-1FC Stockholm Internazionale

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · IF Karlstad Fotboll 1472 · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1595

	IF Karlstad Fotboll	Draw	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	38%	26%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Stockholm Internazionale (rating 1472 vs 1595).
H2H favours FC Stockholm Internazionale: 4-0-2.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	IF Karlstad Fotboll	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.4	2.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.9	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.50

22.45

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 00:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.40▲	Pinn 2.73 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.55 → 2.45▼	Bet365 2.45

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
20:22 +20’	2.30	3.50	2.55
23:48 +20’	2.40▲	3.50	2.45▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:38 +9’	3.10	3.44	2.09
22:14 +29’	2.94▼	3.44	2.17▲
22:59 +16’	2.83▼	3.42▼	2.24▲
00:54 +16’	2.74▼	3.41▼	2.31▲
06:20 +50’	2.73▼	3.42▲	2.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Karlstad Fotboll 2–0–4 FC Stockholm Internazionale

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Date	Home	Score	Away
12/04/26 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-1 HT 0-0	IF Karlstad Fotboll
11/10/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	0-1 HT 0-1	IF Karlstad Fotboll
13/04/25 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-1 HT 0-0	FC Stockholm Internazionale
24/08/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	FC Stockholm Internazionale	1-0 HT 0-0	IF Karlstad Fotboll
20/04/24 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	1-4 HT 0-2	FC Stockholm Internazionale
07/10/23 Sweden 1.div Norra	IF Karlstad Fotboll	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Stockholm Internazionale

Standings · Sweden 1.div Norra · Ettan 2026, Norra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Stockholm Internazionale	27	19	4	4	64	22	61
2	AFC Eskilstuna	27	15	5	7	52	37	50
3	Hammarby TFF	27	14	6	7	53	27	48
4	FC Arlanda	27	14	6	7	47	34	48
5	Enkopings SK	27	15	3	9	42	41	48
6	FBK Karlstad	27	13	7	7	44	37	46
7	IF Karlstad Fotboll	27	12	8	7	41	27	44
8	Umeå FC	27	11	5	11	39	43	38
9	Assyriska Föreningen	27	10	5	12	45	48	35
10	Karlbergs BK	27	9	6	12	37	47	33
11	Gefle IF	27	9	5	13	33	47	32
12	Sollentuna United FF	27	6	10	11	28	37	28
13	Vasalunds IF	27	7	7	13	39	59	28
14	Piteå IF	27	5	9	13	34	50	24
15	FC Järfälla	27	6	4	17	37	58	22
16	IFK Stocksund	27	3	6	18	46	67	15

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	IF Karlstad Fotboll	FC Stockholm Internazionale
Hammarby TFF	1-2 L	3-0 W
Karlbergs BK	1-1 D	2-0 W
Enkopings SK	2-2 D	3-0 W
IFK Stocksund	1-2 L	5-2 W
AFC Eskilstuna	1-2 L	3-1 W
Gefle IF	2-2 D	1-1 D
Sollentuna United FF	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 3 D 4 L	6 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: FC Stockholm Internazionale (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

IF Karlstad Fotboll

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
10/10	FC Arlanda Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	6	2	W
03/10	Piteå IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	1-1	8	2	D
27/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
19/09	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
16/09	FBK Karlstad Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	0-0	2	4	D
12/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-2	10	7	L
05/09	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	1-2	4	6	L
29/08	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
22/08	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-1	1-2	6	3	L

FC Stockholm Internazionale

WWWWWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Gefle IF Sweden 1.div Norra	1-1	1-1	5	2	D
10/10	AFC Eskilstuna Sweden 1.div Norra	2-1	3-1	2	2	W
03/10	Assyriska Föreningen Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	5	6	W
26/09	Sollentuna United FF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-1	6	4	W
20/09	Karlbergs BK Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	8	0	W
17/09	IFK Stocksund Sweden 1.div Norra	5-0	5-2	6	2	W
13/09	Umeå FC Sweden 1.div Norra	2-0	4-0	4	4	W
05/09	Hammarby TFF Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	3-0	2	2	W
30/08	Enkopings SK Sweden 1.div Norra	1-0	3-0	7	0	W
21/08	FC Järfälla Sweden 1.div Norra	0-0	2-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

According to our model, the most likely result is a IF Karlstad Fotboll win (37%). Probabilities: IF Karlstad Fotboll 37%, draw 27%, FC Stockholm Internazionale 36%.

How many goals are expected in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

The model expects 2.73 goals (IF Karlstad Fotboll 1.37 · FC Stockholm Internazionale 1.36), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in IF Karlstad Fotboll vs FC Stockholm Internazionale?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.