Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 29/08, 16:00

Prediction: Kristianstad FC vs Atvidabergs FF

Team pages: Kristianstad FC · Atvidabergs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Kristianstad FC1.3

Atvidabergs FF1.81

1X2

26% 25% 49%

Kristianstad FC Draw Atvidabergs FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Kristianstad FC 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDDLDLWLL

Atvidabergs FF 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWDLWWW

Head-to-head

Kristianstad FC 2–1–2 Atvidabergs FF (5 last)

Atvidabergs FF2-1Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC1-2Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF1-2Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC1-0Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF1-1Kristianstad FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kristianstad FC 1442 · Atvidabergs FF 1565

	Kristianstad FC	Draw	Atvidabergs FF
Our model	26%	25%	49%
Market	26%	25%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atvidabergs FF (rating 1442 vs 1565).
High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kristianstad FC	Atvidabergs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.7	2.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	1.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.8	3.8 / 7.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.60

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:52

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.40▲	Pinn 3.57 ★
X	3.50 → 3.60▲	Pinn 3.75
2	2.10 → 1.85▼	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
14:29 +10’	2.88	3.50	2.10
15:44 +7’	3.40▲	3.60▲	1.85▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:52	3.57	3.75	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kristianstad FC 2–1–2 Atvidabergs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	2-1 HT 1-0	Kristianstad FC
13/10/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	1-2 HT 1-2	Atvidabergs FF
29/06/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	1-2 HT 1-1	Kristianstad FC
10/11/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	1-0 HT 0-0	Atvidabergs FF
27/05/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	1-1 HT 1-0	Kristianstad FC

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	18	10	6	2	39	20	36
2	Atvidabergs FF	18	10	5	3	38	23	35
3	Hässleholms IF	18	10	3	5	36	23	33
4	Lunds BK	18	8	7	3	34	24	31
5	Ariana FC Malmo	18	8	5	5	35	27	29
6	FC Rosengård 1917	18	7	7	4	28	22	28
7	Tvååkers IF	18	8	4	6	26	27	28
8	Eskilsminne IF	18	7	4	7	30	31	25
9	Jonkopings Sodra	18	6	5	7	24	19	23
10	BK Olympic	18	7	2	9	30	33	23
11	FC Trollhättan	18	5	7	6	22	28	22
12	Skövde AIK	18	4	8	6	17	27	20
13	Angelholm	18	3	8	7	25	30	17
14	Laholms FK	18	5	2	11	23	32	17
15	Kristianstad FC	18	4	5	9	19	29	17
16	Utsiktens BK	18	1	4	13	15	46	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kristianstad FC	Atvidabergs FF
Skövde AIK	1-3 L	2-1 W
Tvååkers IF	1-2 L	2-1 W
Angelholm	1-0 W	4-1 W
Eskilsminne IF	2-3 L	4-0 W
Laholms FK	0-3 L	3-1 W
FC Trollhättan	1-1 D	3-3 D
Hässleholms IF	1-3 L	0-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 5 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Atvidabergs FF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kristianstad FC

LWDDLDLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
15/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
07/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
01/07	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-3	4	5	L
26/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
21/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
30/05	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	6	3	W
22/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-3	9	4	L

Atvidabergs FF

WDDWWDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
16/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
08/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	13	5	W
01/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	16	3	L
27/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-2	3-3	4	3	D
17/06	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	3-0	6	0	W
13/06	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	4-0	2	3	W
07/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-2	10	4	D
30/05	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-3	5	2	D
24/05	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-1	8	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kristianstad FC vs Atvidabergs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atvidabergs FF win (49%). Probabilities: Kristianstad FC 26%, draw 25%, Atvidabergs FF 49%.

How many goals are expected in Kristianstad FC vs Atvidabergs FF?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Kristianstad FC 1.3 · Atvidabergs FF 1.81), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Kristianstad FC vs Atvidabergs FF?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.