Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 05/09, 17:00

Prediction: Utsiktens BK vs Lunds BK

Team pages: Utsiktens BK · Lunds BK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

Utsiktens BK1.15

Lunds BK2.37

1X2

16% 20% 64%

Utsiktens BK Draw Lunds BK

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-2 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Utsiktens BK 0-3-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLDLDDL

Lunds BK 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWDDLWW

Head-to-head

Utsiktens BK 2–1–3 Lunds BK (6 last)

Lunds BK5-0Utsiktens BK
Lunds BK2-1Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK2-0Lunds BK
Lunds BK2-2Utsiktens BK
Lunds BK2-1Utsiktens BK
Utsiktens BK3-2Lunds BK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Utsiktens BK 1400 · Lunds BK 1545

	Utsiktens BK	Draw	Lunds BK
Our model	16%	20%	64%
Market	16%	20%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lunds BK (rating 1400 vs 1545).
H2H favours Lunds BK: 3-1-2.
High corners: 12.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 4.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Utsiktens BK	Lunds BK
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 2.3	2.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.4	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/10/90%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 5.4	3 / 7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0.1	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

15.50

X4.50

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.25)1.90

2 (-1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.50 → 5.50	Pinn 5.51
X	4.50 → 4.50	Pinn 4.54
2	1.40 → 1.40	Pinn 1.45 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
08:37 +9’	5.50	4.50	1.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:35	5.51	4.54	1.45

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Utsiktens BK 2–1–3 Lunds BK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	5-0 HT 1-0	Utsiktens BK
21/08/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-1 HT 0-1	Utsiktens BK
11/04/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	Utsiktens BK	2-0 HT 0-0	Lunds BK
29/08/20 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-2 HT 1-0	Utsiktens BK
11/08/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-1 HT 2-0	Utsiktens BK
19/04/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Utsiktens BK	3-2 HT 0-2	Lunds BK

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	19	11	6	2	41	21	39
2	Hässleholms IF	19	11	3	5	38	23	36
3	Atvidabergs FF	19	10	5	4	40	28	35
4	Lunds BK	19	9	7	3	41	25	34
5	FC Rosengård 1917	19	8	7	4	31	24	31
6	Ariana FC Malmo	19	8	6	5	37	29	30
7	Tvååkers IF	19	8	5	6	27	28	29
8	Jonkopings Sodra	19	7	5	7	25	19	26
9	Eskilsminne IF	19	7	4	8	30	33	25
10	BK Olympic	19	7	2	10	31	40	23
11	FC Trollhättan	19	5	7	7	24	31	22
12	Skövde AIK	19	4	9	6	18	28	21
13	Kristianstad FC	19	5	5	9	24	31	20
14	Laholms FK	19	5	3	11	25	34	18
15	Angelholm	19	3	8	8	25	31	17
16	Utsiktens BK	19	1	4	14	16	48	7

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Utsiktens BK	Lunds BK
Trelleborgs FF	1-2 L	2-2 D
Hässleholms IF	0-2 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Utsiktens BK

LLLLLDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	0	L
22/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
16/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	3	0	D
08/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
01/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	7	2	D
27/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	1	2	L
17/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	12	0	L
13/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	2-4	9	2	L
08/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	3	5	L
30/05	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	5	2	L

Lunds BK

WDLDWDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	7-1	8	3	W
22/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	5-2	3	2	W
14/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	9	4	L
08/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
27/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	4	W
18/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
12/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-4	10	1	L
07/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	13	1	D
03/06	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	6	1	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Utsiktens BK vs Lunds BK?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Lunds BK win (64%). Probabilities: Utsiktens BK 16%, draw 20%, Lunds BK 64%.

How many goals are expected in Utsiktens BK vs Lunds BK?

The model expects 3.52 goals (Utsiktens BK 1.15 · Lunds BK 2.37), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Utsiktens BK vs Lunds BK?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.