Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 06/09, 16:00

Prediction: Jonkopings Sodra vs Tvååkers IF

Team pages: Jonkopings Sodra · Tvååkers IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Jonkopings Sodra1.92

Tvååkers IF0.87

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Jonkopings Sodra Draw Tvååkers IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Jonkopings Sodra 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDLLWDDW

Tvååkers IF 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWLDLWWD

Head-to-head

Jonkopings Sodra 0–1–2 Tvååkers IF (3 last)

Tvååkers IF2-1Jonkopings Sodra
Tvååkers IF2-2Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra1-2Tvååkers IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonkopings Sodra 1493 · Tvååkers IF 1510

	Jonkopings Sodra	Draw	Tvååkers IF
Our model	61%	24%	15%
Market	62%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tvååkers IF: 2-1-0.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonkopings Sodra	Tvååkers IF
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	2 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5.1	1.5 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Pinn 1.48 ★
X	4.20 → 4.20	Pinn 4.27
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:02 +11’	1.44	4.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:45 +1’	1.49	4.24	5.46
10:34	1.48▼	4.27▲	5.50▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonkopings Sodra 0–1–2 Tvååkers IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
13/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	2-1 HT 2-0	Jonkopings Sodra
26/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Tvååkers IF	2-2 HT 1-1	Jonkopings Sodra
13/05/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	1-2 HT 0-1	Tvååkers IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	19	11	6	2	41	21	39
2	Hässleholms IF	19	11	3	5	38	23	36
3	Atvidabergs FF	19	10	5	4	40	28	35
4	Lunds BK	19	9	7	3	41	25	34
5	FC Rosengård 1917	20	9	7	4	35	26	34
6	Ariana FC Malmo	19	8	6	5	37	29	30
7	Tvååkers IF	19	8	5	6	27	28	29
8	Jonkopings Sodra	19	7	5	7	25	19	26
9	Eskilsminne IF	19	7	4	8	30	33	25
10	BK Olympic	19	7	2	10	31	40	23
11	FC Trollhättan	19	5	7	7	24	31	22
12	Skövde AIK	19	4	9	6	18	28	21
13	Kristianstad FC	19	5	5	9	24	31	20
14	Laholms FK	20	5	3	12	27	38	18
15	Angelholm	19	3	8	8	25	31	17
16	Utsiktens BK	19	1	4	14	16	48	7

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonkopings Sodra	Tvååkers IF
Angelholm	1-0 W	3-2 W
BK Olympic	2-0 W	4-3 W
Skövde AIK	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonkopings Sodra

LWLDLLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
22/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	2	W
02/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	0	3	L
27/06	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	10	3	L
18/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
13/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	8	3	L
06/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	6	2	W
01/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	1	L

Tvååkers IF

LDWWLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	1	1	D
22/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-3	2	2	W
15/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	6	2	W
08/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	2	5	L
01/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	5	2	D
26/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	4	1	L
18/06	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	3	0	W
13/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
07/06	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
30/05	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	6	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonkopings Sodra vs Tvååkers IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonkopings Sodra win (62%). Probabilities: Jonkopings Sodra 62%, draw 22%, Tvååkers IF 16%.

How many goals are expected in Jonkopings Sodra vs Tvååkers IF?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Jonkopings Sodra 1.92 · Tvååkers IF 0.87), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonkopings Sodra vs Tvååkers IF?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.