Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 05/09, 13:00

Prediction: Hässleholms IF vs Kristianstad FC

Team pages: Hässleholms IF · Kristianstad FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.94Total

Hässleholms IF1.83

Kristianstad FC1.11

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Hässleholms IF Draw Kristianstad FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Hässleholms IF 8-1-1 (W-D-L)

WWLDWWWWWW

Kristianstad FC 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDDLDLWLLW

Head-to-head

Hässleholms IF 2–4–0 Kristianstad FC (6 last)

Kristianstad FC1-3Hässleholms IF
Hässleholms IF5-2Kristianstad FC
Hässleholms IF3-3Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC1-1Hässleholms IF
Hässleholms IF1-1Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC1-1Hässleholms IF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hässleholms IF 1597 · Kristianstad FC 1470

	Hässleholms IF	Draw	Kristianstad FC
Our model	53%	25%	22%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hässleholms IF (rating 1597 vs 1470).
H2H favours Hässleholms IF: 2-4-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hässleholms IF	Kristianstad FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	90/0/10%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1 / 2.2	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	2.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.67

X3.80

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.90

2 (+0.75)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:38

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.67 → 1.67	Pinn 1.76 ★
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:22 +16’	1.67	3.80	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:24 +1’	1.74	3.70	3.74
10:12 +1’	1.76▲	3.79▲	3.84▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hässleholms IF 2–4–0 Kristianstad FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	1-3 HT 0-1	Hässleholms IF
07/03/25 Club Friendly List	Hässleholms IF	5-2 HT 2-2	Kristianstad FC
14/09/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Hässleholms IF	3-3 HT 1-1	Kristianstad FC
19/05/24 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Kristianstad FC	1-1 HT 0-1	Hässleholms IF
08/09/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Hässleholms IF	1-1 HT 1-1	Kristianstad FC
15/05/23 Sweden 2.div Södra Götaland	Kristianstad FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Hässleholms IF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	19	11	6	2	41	21	39
2	Hässleholms IF	19	11	3	5	38	23	36
3	Atvidabergs FF	19	10	5	4	40	28	35
4	Lunds BK	19	9	7	3	41	25	34
5	FC Rosengård 1917	19	8	7	4	31	24	31
6	Ariana FC Malmo	19	8	6	5	37	29	30
7	Tvååkers IF	19	8	5	6	27	28	29
8	Jonkopings Sodra	19	7	5	7	25	19	26
9	Eskilsminne IF	19	7	4	8	30	33	25
10	BK Olympic	19	7	2	10	31	40	23
11	FC Trollhättan	19	5	7	7	24	31	22
12	Skövde AIK	19	4	9	6	18	28	21
13	Kristianstad FC	19	5	5	9	24	31	20
14	Laholms FK	19	5	3	11	25	34	18
15	Angelholm	19	3	8	8	25	31	17
16	Utsiktens BK	19	1	4	14	16	48	7

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hässleholms IF	Kristianstad FC
Eskilsminne IF	2-0 W	2-3 L
Laholms FK	2-1 W	0-3 L
Lunds BK	3-0 W	1-1 D
Atvidabergs FF	2-0 W	5-2 W
Tvååkers IF	4-2 W	1-2 L
Skövde AIK	2-2 D	1-3 L
Trelleborgs FF	0-2 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Hässleholms IF (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hässleholms IF

WWLDWWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
24/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	0	5	W
14/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	2	4	W
08/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	1	4	W
01/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
26/06	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-2	4	1	W
18/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
14/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
04/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
30/05	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	3-0	3	2	W

Kristianstad FC

WDDLDLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	5-2	4	3	W
23/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
15/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
07/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
01/07	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-3	4	5	L
26/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D
21/06	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	0-3	7	3	L
13/06	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
07/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	6	1	D
30/05	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	6	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hässleholms IF vs Kristianstad FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hässleholms IF win (54%). Probabilities: Hässleholms IF 54%, draw 24%, Kristianstad FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Hässleholms IF vs Kristianstad FC?

The model expects 2.94 goals (Hässleholms IF 1.83 · Kristianstad FC 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hässleholms IF vs Kristianstad FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.