Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 06/09, 13:00

Prediction: Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF

Team pages: Skövde AIK · Trelleborgs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Skövde AIK1.11

Trelleborgs FF1.99

1X2

20% 23% 57%

Skövde AIK Draw Trelleborgs FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Skövde AIK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDLWD

Trelleborgs FF 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDDWLLW

Head-to-head

Skövde AIK 2–2–2 Trelleborgs FF (6 last)

Trelleborgs FF4-0Skövde AIK
Trelleborgs FF1-1Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK1-0Trelleborgs FF
Trelleborgs FF2-2Skövde AIK
Skövde AIK2-3Trelleborgs FF
Skövde AIK3-1Trelleborgs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skövde AIK 1465 · Trelleborgs FF 1529

	Skövde AIK	Draw	Trelleborgs FF
Our model	20%	23%	57%
Market	20%	23%	57%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1465 vs 1529).
High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skövde AIK	Trelleborgs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.1	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 5	3.6 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0	3.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.80

21.57

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.77

2 (-1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 07:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.33 → 4.50▲	Pinn 4.53
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.99 ★
2	1.61 → 1.57▼	Pinn 1.61

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.2% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
08:01 +7’	4.33	3.80	1.61
13:13 +1’	4.75▲	3.90▲	1.53▼
07:06 +2’	4.50▼	3.80▼	1.57▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
09:43	4.69	4.04	1.58
01:13 +1’	4.61▼	4.02▼	1.60▲
07:08	4.53▼	3.99▼	1.61▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skövde AIK 2–2–2 Trelleborgs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	4-0 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK
22/09/24 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	1-1 HT 0-1	Skövde AIK
20/04/24 Sweden Superettan	Skövde AIK	1-0 HT 1-0	Trelleborgs FF
05/11/23 Sweden Superettan	Trelleborgs FF	2-2 HT 1-0	Skövde AIK
20/05/23 Sweden Superettan	Skövde AIK	2-3 HT 0-2	Trelleborgs FF
08/10/22 Sweden Superettan	Skövde AIK	3-1 HT 1-1	Trelleborgs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	19	11	6	2	41	21	39
2	Hässleholms IF	19	11	3	5	38	23	36
3	Atvidabergs FF	19	10	5	4	40	28	35
4	Lunds BK	19	9	7	3	41	25	34
5	FC Rosengård 1917	20	9	7	4	35	26	34
6	Ariana FC Malmo	19	8	6	5	37	29	30
7	Tvååkers IF	19	8	5	6	27	28	29
8	Jonkopings Sodra	19	7	5	7	25	19	26
9	Eskilsminne IF	19	7	4	8	30	33	25
10	BK Olympic	19	7	2	10	31	40	23
11	FC Trollhättan	19	5	7	7	24	31	22
12	Skövde AIK	19	4	9	6	18	28	21
13	Kristianstad FC	19	5	5	9	24	31	20
14	Laholms FK	20	5	3	12	27	38	18
15	Angelholm	19	3	8	8	25	31	17
16	Utsiktens BK	19	1	4	14	16	48	7

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skövde AIK	Trelleborgs FF
Kristianstad FC	3-1 W	0-0 D
Lunds BK	1-1 D	2-2 D
Hässleholms IF	2-2 D	2-0 W
FC Rosengård 1917	0-3 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skövde AIK

WLLDLLDLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-1	10	1	D
23/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-1	7	3	W
16/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
08/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
01/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-3	1-3	7	3	L
27/06	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
18/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	2	D
14/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	4	3	L
07/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-4	3	1	L
01/06	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	1	W

Trelleborgs FF

WWWWDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
26/06	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	4	3	D
18/06	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	2-2	3-2	3	4	W
14/06	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	15	6	W
07/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	4-0	7	1	W
30/05	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-2	6	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trelleborgs FF win (57%). Probabilities: Skövde AIK 20%, draw 23%, Trelleborgs FF 57%.

How many goals are expected in Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Skövde AIK 1.11 · Trelleborgs FF 1.99), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Skövde AIK vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.