Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 25/09, 19:00

Prediction: Lunds BK vs Kristianstad FC

Team pages: Lunds BK · Kristianstad FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.08Total

Lunds BK1.96

Kristianstad FC1.12

1X2

56% 23% 21%

Lunds BK Draw Kristianstad FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Lunds BK 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDDLWWDWWL

Kristianstad FC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLWLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

Lunds BK 4–1–1 Kristianstad FC (6 last)

Kristianstad FC1-1Lunds BK
Kristianstad FC2-1Lunds BK
Kristianstad FC1-4Lunds BK
Lunds BK3-1Kristianstad FC
Kristianstad FC0-2Lunds BK
Lunds BK2-1Kristianstad FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lunds BK 1531 · Kristianstad FC 1482

	Lunds BK	Draw	Kristianstad FC
Our model	56%	24%	20%
Market	57%	22%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 3.08 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lunds BK (rating 1531 vs 1482).
H2H favours Lunds BK: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lunds BK	Kristianstad FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	1.1 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	60/40/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 6.1	1.2 / 2.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.1	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.57

X4.10

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:30

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.57 → 1.57	Bet365 1.57
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
21:12 +19’	1.57	4.10	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lunds BK 4–1–1 Kristianstad FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	1-1 HT 1-1	Lunds BK
28/03/26 Club Friendly List	Kristianstad FC	2-1 HT 1-0	Lunds BK
30/06/21 Sweden Cup Qualification	Kristianstad FC	1-4 HT 1-0	Lunds BK
14/09/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	3-1 HT 1-0	Kristianstad FC
07/04/19 Sweden 1.div Södra	Kristianstad FC	0-2 HT 0-1	Lunds BK
21/07/18 Sweden 1.div Södra	Lunds BK	2-1 HT 0-1	Kristianstad FC

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	23	14	6	3	49	27	48
2	Hässleholms IF	23	13	3	7	43	27	42
3	Atvidabergs FF	23	12	6	5	46	33	42
4	Lunds BK	23	11	8	4	46	27	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	23	9	8	6	42	34	35
6	FC Rosengård 1917	23	9	8	6	39	33	35
7	FC Trollhättan	23	9	7	7	37	34	34
8	Jonkopings Sodra	23	9	6	8	29	22	33
9	Tvååkers IF	23	9	6	8	30	33	33
10	BK Olympic	23	9	3	11	40	44	30
11	Eskilsminne IF	23	8	5	10	38	42	29
12	Skövde AIK	23	6	9	8	26	35	27
13	Kristianstad FC	23	6	6	11	28	36	24
14	Laholms FK	23	6	4	13	30	41	22
15	Angelholm	23	3	9	11	27	43	18
16	Utsiktens BK	23	1	6	16	18	57	9

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lunds BK	Kristianstad FC
Atvidabergs FF	0-1 L	5-2 W
Angelholm	2-0 W	1-0 W
BK Olympic	7-1 W	0-1 L
Hässleholms IF	0-3 L	1-2 L
Skövde AIK	1-1 D	1-3 L
Trelleborgs FF	2-2 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Lunds BK (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lunds BK

WDDLWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
16/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	5	1	W
11/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	7	2	W
05/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
28/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	7-1	8	3	W
22/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	5-2	3	2	W
14/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	9	4	L
08/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
02/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	4	D
27/06	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	4	W

Kristianstad FC

DLWLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
17/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
13/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
05/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	1	3	L
29/08	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	5-2	4	3	W
23/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-3	3	3	L
15/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-2	4	2	L
07/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
01/07	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-3	4	5	L
26/06	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	1	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lunds BK vs Kristianstad FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lunds BK win (56%). Probabilities: Lunds BK 56%, draw 23%, Kristianstad FC 21%.

How many goals are expected in Lunds BK vs Kristianstad FC?

The model expects 3.08 goals (Lunds BK 1.96 · Kristianstad FC 1.12), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lunds BK vs Kristianstad FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.