Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 04/10, 13:00

Prediction: BK Olympic vs Trelleborgs FF

Team pages: BK Olympic · Trelleborgs FF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

BK Olympic1.54

Trelleborgs FF2.05

1X2

28% 23% 48%

BK Olympic Draw Trelleborgs FF

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

BK Olympic 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLDLLWLWDL

Trelleborgs FF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLWWWW

Head-to-head

BK Olympic 0–1 Trelleborgs FF (1 last)

Trelleborgs FF2-1BK Olympic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · BK Olympic 1451 · Trelleborgs FF 1547

	BK Olympic	Draw	Trelleborgs FF
Our model	28%	23%	49%
Market	28%	24%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Trelleborgs FF (rating 1451 vs 1547).
High corners: 13.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	BK Olympic	Trelleborgs FF
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 2.2	2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	1 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.3 / 7.7	3.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.1	3.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.20

X3.75

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.77

Under 32.02

Diff.: 0.85 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 19:50

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
19:32 +18’	3.20	3.75	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · BK Olympic 0–0–1 Trelleborgs FF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Trelleborgs FF	2-1 HT 2-0	BK Olympic

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	24	15	6	3	53	28	51
2	Atvidabergs FF	24	13	6	5	48	34	45
3	Hässleholms IF	24	13	3	8	44	29	42
4	Lunds BK	24	11	8	5	46	28	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	24	10	8	6	44	35	38
6	FC Rosengård 1917	24	10	8	6	41	34	38
7	FC Trollhättan	24	10	7	7	41	36	37
8	Jonkopings Sodra	24	9	6	9	29	25	33
9	Tvååkers IF	24	9	6	9	32	37	33
10	BK Olympic	24	9	3	12	41	46	30
11	Skövde AIK	24	7	9	8	28	36	30
12	Eskilsminne IF	24	8	5	11	39	44	29
13	Kristianstad FC	24	7	6	11	29	36	27
14	Laholms FK	24	6	4	14	31	43	22
15	Angelholm	24	3	9	12	28	47	18
16	Utsiktens BK	24	2	6	16	21	57	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	BK Olympic	Trelleborgs FF
Skövde AIK	1-2 L	1-2 L
FC Rosengård 1917	1-1 D	4-3 W
Angelholm	5-0 W	4-1 W
Lunds BK	1-7 L	2-2 D
Tvååkers IF	3-4 L	1-0 W
Ariana FC Malmo	2-2 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Trelleborgs FF (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

BK Olympic

WLDLLWLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	3	1	L
20/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-1	3	2	D
17/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	15	2	W
12/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-3	11	2	L
05/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	5-0	9	1	W
28/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	1-7	5	3	L
22/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	3-4	9	2	L
15/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	6	4	D
09/08	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	8	3	L
01/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	3-1	8	3	W

Trelleborgs FF

DWLLWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	5	3	W
20/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
17/09	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	3-1	4-3	3	4	W
12/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	7	W
06/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	1-2	11	1	L
30/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	5	0	W
22/08	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-2	8	3	L
16/08	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-2	1-3	5	5	L
08/08	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	2-1	8	2	W
02/08	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-2	3	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in BK Olympic vs Trelleborgs FF?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Trelleborgs FF win (48%). Probabilities: BK Olympic 28%, draw 23%, Trelleborgs FF 48%.

How many goals are expected in BK Olympic vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model expects 3.59 goals (BK Olympic 1.54 · Trelleborgs FF 2.05), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in BK Olympic vs Trelleborgs FF?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.