Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Jonkopings Sodra vs Eskilsminne IF

Team pages: Jonkopings Sodra · Eskilsminne IF

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.97Total

Jonkopings Sodra1.86

Eskilsminne IF1.11

1X2

54% 24% 22%

Jonkopings Sodra Draw Eskilsminne IF

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Jonkopings Sodra 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDWLDWWL

Eskilsminne IF 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

WDWDLLLWDL

Head-to-head

Jonkopings Sodra 3–1–1 Eskilsminne IF (5 last)

Eskilsminne IF2-2Jonkopings Sodra
Eskilsminne IF4-2Jonkopings Sodra
Jonkopings Sodra3-1Eskilsminne IF
Jonkopings Sodra2-1Eskilsminne IF
Eskilsminne IF1-3Jonkopings Sodra

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jonkopings Sodra 1495 · Eskilsminne IF 1488

	Jonkopings Sodra	Draw	Eskilsminne IF
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	54%	24%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.97 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Jonkopings Sodra: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Jonkopings Sodra	Eskilsminne IF
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1	1.7 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.9 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.3	1.1 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.65

X3.75

24.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.85

2 (+0.75)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 20:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
20:35 +6’	1.65	3.75	4.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Jonkopings Sodra 3–1–1 Eskilsminne IF

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	2-2 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra
08/11/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	4-2 HT 3-1	Jonkopings Sodra
21/04/25 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	3-1 HT 1-0	Eskilsminne IF
19/10/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Jonkopings Sodra	2-1 HT 0-0	Eskilsminne IF
20/04/24 Sweden 1.div Södra	Eskilsminne IF	1-3 HT 0-1	Jonkopings Sodra

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	24	15	6	3	53	28	51
2	Atvidabergs FF	24	13	6	5	48	34	45
3	Hässleholms IF	24	13	3	8	44	29	42
4	Lunds BK	24	11	8	5	46	28	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	24	10	8	6	44	35	38
6	FC Rosengård 1917	24	10	8	6	41	34	38
7	FC Trollhättan	24	10	7	7	41	36	37
8	Jonkopings Sodra	24	9	6	9	29	25	33
9	Tvååkers IF	24	9	6	9	32	37	33
10	BK Olympic	24	9	3	12	41	46	30
11	Skövde AIK	24	7	9	8	28	36	30
12	Eskilsminne IF	24	8	5	11	39	44	29
13	Kristianstad FC	24	7	6	11	29	36	27
14	Laholms FK	24	6	4	14	31	43	22
15	Angelholm	24	3	9	12	28	47	18
16	Utsiktens BK	24	2	6	16	21	57	12

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Jonkopings Sodra	Eskilsminne IF
Utsiktens BK	0-3 L	2-2 D
Kristianstad FC	0-0 D	3-2 W
Tvååkers IF	0-1 L	4-2 W
Angelholm	1-0 W	2-2 D
FC Rosengård 1917	0-0 D	0-0 D
Laholms FK	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Eskilsminne IF (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jonkopings Sodra

LWDDWLDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
21/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	3-2	6	3	W
16/09	Atvidabergs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	1-0	7	3	W
13/09	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
06/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
29/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	6	0	W
22/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
15/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
09/08	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
02/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-3	2-4	0	3	L

Eskilsminne IF

WDWDLLLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	1-2	4	7	L
21/09	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-2	4	3	D
17/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	4	6	W
12/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	7	7	L
05/09	FC Trollhättan Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-4	1	2	L
29/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
22/08	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-2	2	5	D
16/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-1	5	5	W
08/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
01/07	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	3-2	5	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jonkopings Sodra vs Eskilsminne IF?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Jonkopings Sodra win (54%). Probabilities: Jonkopings Sodra 54%, draw 24%, Eskilsminne IF 22%.

How many goals are expected in Jonkopings Sodra vs Eskilsminne IF?

The model expects 2.97 goals (Jonkopings Sodra 1.86 · Eskilsminne IF 1.11), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Jonkopings Sodra vs Eskilsminne IF?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.