Football · Sweden 1.div Södra · 03/10, 16:00

Prediction: Atvidabergs FF vs FC Trollhättan

Team pages: Atvidabergs FF · FC Trollhättan

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Atvidabergs FF2.03

FC Trollhättan1.4

1X2

51% 23% 26%

Atvidabergs FF Draw FC Trollhättan

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Atvidabergs FF 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDWLWW

FC Trollhättan 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWWWWW

Head-to-head

Atvidabergs FF 0–1–5 FC Trollhättan (6 last)

FC Trollhättan3-3Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF1-2FC Trollhättan
FC Trollhättan3-0Atvidabergs FF
Atvidabergs FF0-2FC Trollhättan
FC Trollhättan3-1Atvidabergs FF
FC Trollhättan3-1Atvidabergs FF

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atvidabergs FF 1533 · FC Trollhättan 1581

	Atvidabergs FF	Draw	FC Trollhättan
Our model	51%	23%	26%
Market	51%	23%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Trollhättan (rating 1533 vs 1581).
H2H favours FC Trollhättan: 5-1-0.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atvidabergs FF	FC Trollhättan
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.6	2.3 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	1.2 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	40/60/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.7	2.5 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.2	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.75

X3.90

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.80

2 (+0.5)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:31

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
18:22 +9’	1.75	3.90	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Atvidabergs FF 0–1–5 FC Trollhättan

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/05/26 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	3-3 HT 2-1	Atvidabergs FF
23/09/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	1-2 HT 1-1	FC Trollhättan
01/05/23 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	3-0 HT 1-0	Atvidabergs FF
09/10/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	Atvidabergs FF	0-2 HT 0-2	FC Trollhättan
21/05/22 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	3-1 HT 2-0	Atvidabergs FF
31/10/21 Sweden 1.div Södra	FC Trollhättan	3-1 HT 1-0	Atvidabergs FF

Standings · Sweden 1.div Södra · Ettan 2026, Sodra

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Trelleborgs FF	24	15	6	3	53	28	51
2	Atvidabergs FF	24	13	6	5	48	34	45
3	Hässleholms IF	24	13	3	8	44	29	42
4	Lunds BK	24	11	8	5	46	28	41
5	Ariana FC Malmo	24	10	8	6	44	35	38
6	FC Rosengård 1917	24	10	8	6	41	34	38
7	FC Trollhättan	24	10	7	7	41	36	37
8	Jonkopings Sodra	24	9	6	9	29	25	33
9	Tvååkers IF	24	9	6	9	32	37	33
10	BK Olympic	24	9	3	12	41	46	30
11	Skövde AIK	24	7	9	8	28	36	30
12	Eskilsminne IF	24	8	5	11	39	44	29
13	Kristianstad FC	24	7	6	11	29	36	27
14	Laholms FK	24	6	4	14	31	43	22
15	Angelholm	24	3	9	12	28	47	18
16	Utsiktens BK	24	2	6	16	21	57	12

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atvidabergs FF	FC Trollhättan
Laholms FK	2-1 W	0-1 L
Angelholm	4-1 W	1-0 W
Skövde AIK	2-1 W	3-1 W
Tvååkers IF	2-1 W	4-2 W
Hässleholms IF	0-2 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Trollhättan (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atvidabergs FF

LWWWLDWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-1	6	3	W
19/09	Lunds BK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
16/09	Jonkopings Sodra Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-1	6	3	L
12/09	BK Olympic Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	3-2	1	2	W
05/09	Ariana FC Malmo Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	2-2	4	3	D
29/08	Kristianstad FC Sweden 1.div Södra	1-4	2-5	6	3	L
22/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	2-0	4-1	2	2	W
16/08	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	1-0	2-1	8	2	W
08/08	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	2-1	13	5	W
01/08	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-1	0-2	16	3	L

FC Trollhättan

WLWWLWWWWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/09	Tvååkers IF Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	4-2	12	1	W
20/09	Hässleholms IF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	3	W
17/09	Skövde AIK Sweden 1.div Södra	2-1	3-1	4	3	W
11/09	Utsiktens BK Sweden 1.div Södra	3-0	5-0	1	4	W
05/09	Eskilsminne IF Sweden 1.div Södra	4-1	4-2	9	2	W
29/08	FC Rosengård 1917 Sweden 1.div Södra	1-1	2-3	13	5	L
22/08	Trelleborgs FF Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	2-1	4	3	W
15/08	Angelholm Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
08/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
01/08	Laholms FK Sweden 1.div Södra	0-0	1-0	3	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atvidabergs FF vs FC Trollhättan?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Atvidabergs FF win (51%). Probabilities: Atvidabergs FF 51%, draw 23%, FC Trollhättan 26%.

How many goals are expected in Atvidabergs FF vs FC Trollhättan?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Atvidabergs FF 2.03 · FC Trollhättan 1.4), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Atvidabergs FF vs FC Trollhättan?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.